UFC Vegas 93 Three Best Moneyline Bets
Josefine Knutsson (7-0) vs Julia Polastri (12-3)
Although she got passed up on the Contender Series this past season, the UFC still rewarded Knutsson with a short notice fight in September that she dominated her opponent in. It may not be the most entertaining, but Knutsson is one of the toughest fighters at the weight class due to her aggressiveness, pressure, and physicality. Read UFC Vegas 93 three best moneyline bets.
Polastri did earn her spot in the UFC on her second attempt on the Contender Series as she finished her opponent in the second round. She now makes her UFC debut, looking to implement her smooth striking style and average grappling skills to start off on the right foot. Not training with a big or notable gym will work against her at this level, but let’s see if she can prove people wrong.
In women’s MMA, physicality usually is a big part of the equation, but when you can also have a skill advantage over your opponent, it’s a tough sell to pick against that person. Knutsson has the strength and skill advantage here, I fully expect her to put Polastri through the ringer here and win a dominant decision.
The Pick: Josefine Knutsson -170
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Brady Hiestand (7-2) vs Garrett Armfield (10-3)
Hiestand was on the verge of defeat in his last fight but managed to battle back from adversity and get a late third round stoppage to pull victory from the jaws of defeat. Normally looking to implement a grapple-heavy style, Hiestand looks very uncomfortable in the striking realm and that is what led to him getting butchered on the feet like he did last time. Luckily his cardio and grappling bailed him out late, but that will be harder to pull off against tougher competition.
Making his short notice UFC debut a couple fights back, Armfield came up short in that fight as he went up a weight class for the opportunity. Since returning to his natural weight class, he is now 2-0 and looking better each time. He has a solid grappling game, but his improving striking game has allowed him to defeat tough opponents like Brad Katona.
I believe this is a step down in competition for Armfield. Not saying Hiestand is not dangerous, but I think Armfield can show enough solid defensive work with his BJJ and wrestling to keep this fight in the striking realm. From there I expect him to use intelligent footwork and volume to land effective damage on Hiestand and win this fight on the scorecards.
The Pick: Garrett Armfield -175
Douglas Silva de Andrade (29-5) vs Miles Johns (14-2)
Turning 39 next month, the always dangerous de Andrade looks to pick up another upset victory this weekend. He throws with a ton of power early but tends to slow down and give up control to his opponents. We saw him trust his volume a little more in his last fight against Stamann, but I think that also had to do with Stamann not being as assertive as he normally is. Stamann had late success but was unable to close the show, allowing de Andrade to win a decision.
Johns has matured a ton since joining forces with Marathon MMA, showing that he can stick to gameplans and make it very difficult for his opponents. Using a ton of lateral movement, quick explosions, and grinding opponents in the clinch, Johns knows how to use his tools to the best of his ability. Body language is not the greatest late but he has figured out how to optimize his performances late so he doesn’t fall behind or remain susceptible to being finished.
As long as Johns can stay safe in the opening round, I expect him to implement a style that will cause de Andrade to slow down and stay on the defensive. Johns will mix it all together here with his movement, volume, clinch game, and takedowns to slow down the Brazilian and that should allow him to pick up a decision victory.
