UFC London: Aspinall vs Tybura Main Event Prediction

UFC LONDON: ASPINALL VS TYBURA MAIN EVENT PREDICTION – We finally got some movement at the top of the heavyweight division with the recent announcement of Jon Jones vs Stipe Miocic in November. By that time, the heavyweight division will have shaken out enough to determine another contender, one of those could emerge from this weekend.

Tale of the Tape

Tom Aspinall looks to bounce back from an unfortunate knee injury sustained during his last fight which was a day shy of a full year ago.

Riding a solid two-fight winning streak, Tybura is looking career-best and hopes at 37 years old he can parlay a victory this weekend with his long-sought title shot.

Will the British phenom make a triumphant return? Or will Tybura spoil his plans and position himself near the top of the division? Read on to find out the best way to attack this seemingly lop-sided fight?

Tom Aspinall

Scorching onto the UFC scene back in 2020, Aspinall finished all five of his UFC foes, four of them in the first round.

He main evented twice, the first being against Alexander Volkov, he then made a quick turn and headlined again when he suffered his injury against Curtis Blaydes. It’s clear the UFC is getting on the Aspinall train as this will now be his third straight headlining act. He came in highly touted and is living up to the hype thus far.

His combination of speed, power, and precision has vaulted him up the heavyweight ranks. Three of his five UFC wins have come by knockout, but in two of his last three wins he has started to show off his grappling game too.

He as high-level timing on his takedowns and he doesn’t at all half-ass them. He has completed all four of his UFC takedown attempts. I did not originally believe in Aspinall as I thought he was a flash in the pan.

However, he continues to impress me every time out. I still have questions about his cardio, but he hasn’t needed to show it off thus far. I don’t think he’ll face much resistance until he fights the Jones and Miocic’s of the world, mainly due to his physical advantages.

Marcin Tybura

Starting his UFC run with a 4-5 record, Tybura has turned it around since early 2020 and now finds himself on a 7-1 run.

His only loss in that span is a close split decision loss to Alexander Volkov. Tybura has settled himself in that top 5-10 range of the division with quality wins.

The UFC has seemingly rewarded him by putting him in this main event slot, his first in six years. He handed Alexandr Romanov the first loss of his professional career a couple fights back.

Tybura exemplifies the hybrid heavyweight. Someone that doesn’t rely mainly on quick stoppages to get his hand raised. A fighter that can go a hard 15-25 minutes if needed and can show all skills in the MMA realm.

From solid combination striking to a grinding grappling game that he can lean on late in fights. His cardio is pretty good and his ability to battle back from adversity has shown off in multiple fights now.

He’s bounced around from a couple different gyms including American Top Team, but as of late he has been staying in Poland and training with many of his countrymen who compete in KSW.

The Pick

I used to convince myself that any underdog at +200 or better would be a decent play to fade Aspinall because of his questionable cardio. It’s something we have yet to see recently so that narrative could be false too.

However, he’s proven me wrong time and time again, meaning I need to give him credit for his early finishing threat. Not many heavyweights move with his speed and power. He is one of the better fighters in regards to killer instinct as well.

I feel those two traits will be too much for Tybura to handle early. Yes, Tybura was able to endure Greg Hardy, Walt Harris, and Alexandr Romanov thumping him in the first round, but none of those guys as surgical closers like Aspinall is. I’ll be focusing on the under here as well as Aspinall to get it done in round one.

Under 1.5 -180 & Aspinall in R1 +100