UFC 310 Three Best Moneyline Bets
Cody Durden (17-6-1) vs Joshua Van (11-2)
After a stoppage loss to Bruno Silva, Durden took a short notice opportunity in September against Matt Schnell and got back to his winning ways. Durden is normally a relentless wrestler that loves to establish his dominant position to accumulate control time. He has started leaning on his hands more to set up his takedowns, but that has also left him open to being hit by better strikers. Read more UFC 310 three best moneyline bets.
Van wants to get back to a winning streak, looking to build upon his UFC 306 decision victory over a dangerous and aggressive Edgar Chairez. With one of the slickest and most entertaining striking styles, Van does a great job of breaking opponents down by working the body and setting traps with his punches. He often starts slow but ends up snowballing his momentum over the final two rounds to either get a finish or do enough to win on the scorecards.
This will be Van’s toughest grappling challenge since his first professional loss which came three years ago. I believe he has made enough improvements to keep this fight upright, which is where he should have a decisive advantage over Durden. Durden’s over aggressive striking style will leave plenty of openings for Van to pick him apart and finish him within 2.5 rounds.
The Pick: Joshua Van -150
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Movsar Evloev (18-0) vs Aljamain Sterling (24-4)
A clean 18-0 overall record, with 8 of those coming in the UFC, Evloev is on the cusp of fighting for a title. His inactivity is the culprit behind him not already fighting for a title, but also the log jam that Volkanovski and Holloway created at the top of the division. Evloev’s relentless wrestling, grinding ability, and high-level cardio are the reasons he has a clean MMA record.
The former bantamweight champion set his eyes on the featherweight division back in April when he picked up a victory over Calvin Kattar. Sterling is a suffocating grappler who is a tad uncomfortable in the striking realm. Leaning on flashy kicks and distance strikes, Sterling likes to wait for an opportunity to engage in the clinch and get to his wrestling to win his fights.
Evloev is the owner of some of the craziest scrambling sequences we’ve seen in the UFC, and I expect that to hold up for him once again this weekend. Evloev is a far better gas tank, pace, and wrestling game that I think he can win this fight no matter where it goes. Sterling’s submission game could give some people pause, but I expect Evloev to work through it with no issue and eventually grind this out.
The Pick: Movsar Evloev -225
Nate Landwehr (18-5) vs Doo Ho Choi (15-4-1)
Landwehr is now 4-1 over his last 5 fights, and it’s clear with his last loss where he is in the division. He will always be reliable with his entertaining and crowd-pleasing style. Often throwing himself into the fire for the enjoyment of others, Landwehr leans on his pressure to break opponents and either finish them late or win on the scorecards. From aggressive striking to slick grappling, Landwehr has it all, but his durability and skill level usually leads to him taking losses to guys higher up in the rankings.
It was a feel-good moment for Choi as he picked up his first win in 8 years when he knocked out Bill Algeo earlier this year. Now with that monkey off his back, Choi can get back to work and try to make the most of his UFC career at 33 years old. Striking has been the main ingredient in his game that has offered up success.
This fight is a front-runner for fight of the night, but I expect Choi to come through with his technical striking advantage. I expect him to counter Landwehr effectively, landing big shots off his back foot, and eventually finding the kill shot within the first 7.5 minutes.