UFC 304 Three Best Moneyline Bets
Muhammad Mokaev (11-0) vs Manel Kape (19-6)
One of the most promising prospects we’ve gotten in the UFC in a long time, is Muhammad Mokaev. He has finally positioned himself in a number one contender spot. His relentless wrestling, grappling, and pace has gotten him this undefeated run. As he started facing ranked competition, that’s where we start to face adversity but still manage to pass each test. Read more UFC 304 Three Best Moneyline Bets.Â
Kape came over from the Japanese MMA scene with a lot of hype. He stumbled in his first two outings but has since followed up with four straight victories. Explosive striking, stellar takedown defense, and a wealth of experience makes Kape one of the more intriguing flyweights on the roster.
I think this will be the stiffest teste of the young 23-year-old’s career and it will end up being too much. Kape’s takedown defense will allow him to keep this fight in the striking realm where he will have a sizable advantage. It will be tough early to stave off the grappling attempts of Mokaev, but I expect it to get easier in deep water, which should lead to a knockout.
The Pick: Manel Kape +140
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Oban Elliott (10-2) vs Preston Parsons (11-4)
Riding a six-fight winning streak and coming off an impressively dominant UFC debut, ‘The Welsh Gangster’ looks to show out once again closer to his home soil. Elliott is a grinder of a fighter, utilizing the clinch and wrestling to get his opponents on the mat and frustrate them there. His striking is slowly coming along, but he still looks uncomfortable exchanging with his opponents.
Parsons has a .500 record in the UFC but is much better than that indicates. ‘Pressure’ is the perfect nickname as he embodies exactly that. He does not let his opponents breathe, staying on the gas, staying in their face, to ultimately drag them to the mat and drown them. He finished all 9 of his wins on the regional scene, his first UFC finish is just around the corner.
This should be a grind early, but I think we’ll quickly see that the wrestling edge of Parsons will be the difference-maker. I also think the cardio edge will go to Parsons which should help him break Elliott and find a finish in the latter half of this fight. Parsons is a prospect waiting to break through, this could be that performance for him.
The Pick: Preston Parsons -140
Chrisitan Leroy Duncan (10-1) vs Gregory Rodrigues (15-5)
One of the more entertaining strikers on the roster, Duncan is starting to round out his game well enough to mix in the clinch and wrestling to keep his opponents guessing. Normally dealing with opponents trying to take him down, Duncan has made a career of working on his takedown defense, now it’s gotten to the point where he needs to use takedowns offensively to beat UFC level talent. Don’t get it twisted though, it will always be his power that benefits him most in these fights.
Rodrigues is one of the nastiest fighters in the middleweight division. From his crushing BJJ he can implement when he takes opponents down to his significantly improved striking game, Rodrigues is a threat almost anywhere he takes fights. Hitting a few roadblocks through his UFC career, Rodrigues is still looking to build the momentum to get him into contendership.
This should be a fun scrap, but I think we’ll see the speed, power, and explosivity of Duncan come through. Rodrigues will likely look to take him to the mat, but I think we’ve seen enough takedown defense improvements from Duncan that he can keep this fight standing, then start to let go with his offense as Rodrigues starts to get demoralized from failing on his takedown attempts.
