By: John Fredericks, Jack Fredericks, and Nate Perry
Line Courtesy of DraftKings, 9/15
Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs (-4), 8:15 EST Amazon Prime Video
John: According to Issac Newton: What comes up, must come down. He called it the law of gravity. I call it the law of the NFL: on any given Thursday night. My late father Sam said: “Never bet against the Chiefs at Arrowhead.” Good advice. Sorry dad.
I like the nomad gypsy Chargers on the road going to Kansas City where the entire city of Vegas bet the Chiefs. The Bolts have no home. They play 17 road games. Besides, the public is broke. The casinos build bigger hotels.
You simply cannot lay points against this Chargers offense. I know: Mahomes threw 5 TD’s and he’s all that and a bag of chips. But that was against the rat Cardinals. Herbert moves the ball and eats up the clock. I’m taking the 4. Lightening strikes in KC. Bet Bolts + 4.
don't bang our line 🤳 pic.twitter.com/RKDWDwsKjm
— Los Angeles Chargers (@chargers) September 14, 2022
Jack: Fire up your streaming services and renew that Prime subscription, because tonight’s game promises to be a good one. I sit atop the NFL analyst bracket with an intimidating 5-3 record after an absolute scorcher on Monday Night football. Never bet against Geno Smith in Seattle on Monday Night in a home opener against an AFC West opponent. Everyone knows that. We lift up a prayer for the Godzilla, because the man went 5-10 last week. If he doesn’t get this one right, he might as well go back to politics.
Fans of this website (Nate’s grandma), know that your crack team of degenerate analysts hate a four point spread. You can’t win those. This is a game that promises to be close and the four points will make any honest gambler nervous whichever way they choose.
Here’s what we know: the Chiefs are still the Chiefs. Many people were trying to be cute this year in picking the Chiefs to finish last in the division (ha ha). The loss of Tyreek Hill didn’t seem to affect the team much in the Massacre at Scottsdale. The Chiefs are going to score. A lot. The O-Line might not look as good as it has in the past and the defense has yet to face a real QB, but the Chiefs can still hang forty on anyone. As for the Chargers, they played a close game in Los Angeles and escaped with a win after being outscored 16-7 in the second half. For a team as skilled as the Chiefs, this seems like an easy decision: lay points and go to bed. I think a little differently, though, which is why I’m 5-3. I think the Chargers come away with the win here in a tricky game against a division rival. I’ll take the four points and keep putting money on the Chargers until they stop covering the spread. I love the moneyline here to at +160. Bet Chargers +4. Bet Chargers ML +160.
Nate: Welcome to the game that’s going to have everyone over the age of 50 yelling at the television because they can’t figure out how to stream on Amazon Prime. It’s a shame because this one figures to be a fun one. There are a variety of ways that you can play this. I ended up playing the Chiefs -3 last week before either of these teams played a snap because that number just seemed too low. Sure enough it’s steamed up to -4 after briefly reaching -4.5. I think that -4 is still the right play here because the Chargers aren’t quite at full strength and will miss the services of their stud corner J.C. Jackson, but that’s baked into the line by now. Chiefs should be able to put up enough to cover that number. If you’re all in on the Chargers, take a gander at the moneyline. I suspect whoever wins, covers, so take the better odds. As for me, the total is ludicrously high for two teams coming in off a short week. Expect them to be a little sluggish and get off to a slow start. The under is almost always a good play in these games, particularly when it starts to get really high. I couldn’t argue much against anyone who wanted to bet either side of this game, but I will argue with anyone who thinks this is a high scoring shootout. Pick: Under 54
OF COURSE. @TKelce starts us off!
📺: @CBS pic.twitter.com/lfPtQL2HLu
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) September 11, 2022
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