TENNESSEE  TITANS VS. MINNESOTA VIKINGS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — November 17, 2024

TENNESSEE TITANS  VS. MINNESOTA VIKINGS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — November 17, 2024 — Greetings, football fans. Welcome back to our NFL coverage here at Godzilla Wins. One of several games on Sunday’s slate features the Tennessee Titans (2-7 SU, 1-8 ATS) hosting the Minnesota Vikings (7-2 SU, 6-3 ATS).

Here is a look at which squad has the edge going into this matchup and why.

Kickoff

When: Sunday, November 17, 2024 @ 1:00 PM ET

Where: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN

TV: CBS

Tennessee Titans vs. Minnesota Vikings Odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings

Tennessee Titans vs. Minnesota Vikings — In-Season Stats & Betting Trends

There is no way to sugarcoat it. The Titans are not a good team. They started the season with losses in each of their first three games. After snapping that losing streak with a 31-12 win over the Miami Dolphins, Tennessee has dropped three of its last four games, including a 27-17 loss against the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 10. Will Levis returned from a three-game absence and completed 18 of 23 passes for 175 yards and two touchdowns—a solid effort against a Chargers’ defense allowing just 13.1 points per game. Although Tennessee’s defense surrendered 145 yards on the ground, this unit limited Justin Herbert to 164 passing yards. It will be interesting to see if the Titans can duplicate that effort against a Vikings team looking to bounce back from a subpar effort against the Jacksonville Jaguars.

At the other end of the spectrum, after a 5-0 start, the Vikings dropped two of their next three games before posting an ugly 12-7 win over Jacksonville last week. Sam Darnold finished 24 of 38 for 241 yards with no touchdowns and three interceptions. It is worth noting that Darnold has thrown five interceptions over the last two weeks after throwing just five picks in his first seven starts this season. The Vikings dominated the contest in nearly every statistical category. They outgained the Jaguars in total yards 402-143. Minnesota ran 82 plays compared to just 43 for Jacksonville.

Furthermore, the Vikings won the time-of-possession battle, holding the ball for 42 minutes and 19 seconds. But despite five trips inside the Jaguars’ 20-yard line, the Vikings could muster just three field goals. The game should not have been close, considering Trevor Lawrence was out with a shoulder injury. The good news is that the Vikings will face another AFC South opponent with just two wins on its resume.

Now that we have set the stage for this interconference showdown, let’s examine the betting trends for both sides.

Hey, make sure you check out our picks on the GW Daily Picks page.

Titans vs. Vikings Spread Analysis

Following their 10-point loss to the Los Angeles Chargers, Tennessee enters this contest as a six-point underdog (via OddsShark.com). Let’s see how both teams have fared against the spread.

• The Titans are 0-5 ATS in their last five games.
• In its previous eight contests at Nissan Stadium, Tennessee is 1-6-1 against the spread.
• The Vikings have covered the spread six times in their last nine outings.
• In its previous seven matchups against the Titans, Minnesota is 6-1 against the spread.

Prediction: Minnesota Vikings (-6)

Titans vs. Vikings Over/Under Prediction

This matchup’s projected scoring output is 39.5 points (via OddsShark.com). Here are a few trends that suggest why going with the “over” is the intelligent choice.

• The total has gone OVER five times in the Titans’ last seven games
• The OVER total is 4-2 in the Vikings’ previous six road outings.
• In the previous six matchups between these two franchises, the OVER total has prevailed four times.
• These two squads average a combined 42 points per contest, 2.5 points higher than the projected total.

Prediction: OVER 39.5 points

Titans vs. Vikings Player Prop Bet

Tony Pollard is the key player to watch for the home team in this contest. He currently has -110 odds of exceeding 54.5 rushing yards and -120 odds of finishing with less than 54.5 yards (per DraftKings). Here’s a look at how his numbers stack up against the estimated yards total.

• During the season, Pollard is averaging 74.0 yards per game.
• In four career matchups against the Jaguars, Pollard has accumulated 162 yards on 28 carries and three touchdowns.
• The Titans have played four home games this season. Pollard has averaged 74.3 yards per outing in those contests.
• In three games against NFC opponents this season, Pollard is averaging 63.3 yards per game.
• Pollard has averaged 81.8 yards per outing over his last four starts, exceeding the projected yards total for this matchup three times during that stretch.

Prediction: Tony Pollard OVER 54.5 rushing yards