TENNESSEE TITANS VS. GREEN BAY PACKERS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — September 22, 2024

TENNESSEE TITANS VS. GREEN BAY PACKERS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — September 22, 2024 — Greetings, football fans. Welcome back to our NFL coverage here at Godzilla Wins. One of several games on Sunday’s slate features the Tennessee Titans (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS) hosting the Green Bay Packers (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS).

Here is a look at which squad has the edge going into this matchup and why.

Kickoff

When: Sunday, September 22, 2024 @ 1:00 PM ET

Where: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN

TV: FOX

Tennessee Titans vs. Green Bay Packers Odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings

Tennessee Titans vs. Green Bay Packers – In-Season Stats & Betting Trends

The Titans opened their 2024 season with a 24-17 loss to the Chicago Bears despite leading that game 17-3. The team’s misfortunes continued as Tennessee fell to the New York Jets 24-17 in Week 2. After a few questionable decisions against the Bears, quarterback Will Levis was somewhat better against New York. He finished 19 of 28 for 192 yards with one touchdown and one pick.

The Titans’ ground game was decent, churning out 130 yards on 28 attempts. Tony Pollard led the rushing attack with 62 yards on 17 carriers. Calvin Ridley led the receiving corps with four catches for 77 yards and a touchdown, while Pollard caught five passes totaling 40 yards.

Meanwhile, the Packers bounced back from a season-opening loss to the Philadelphia Eagles with a 16-10 win over the Indianapolis Colts last week. The Packers’ aerial attack was very conservative, with Malik Willis filling in for the injured Jordan Love. Coming into the game, Willis had played in just 12 NFL games while completing 52 percent of his passes. In a well-designed scheme by Matt LaFleur, Willis displayed good command of the team’s offense, completing 12 of 14 passes for 122 yards and one touchdown.

While Willis’ efficient outing is noteworthy, the Packers’ rushing attack was a thing of beauty. Green Bay accumulated 261 yards on 53 carries for an average of 4.9 yards per attempt. Josh Jacobs led the way with 32 carries, totaling 151 yards. As a result, the Packers dominated the time possession battle by a 2-to-1 ratio. With that in mind, look for the Packers to utilize a similar strategy against the winless Titans.

Now that we have set the stage for this matchup, let’s examine the betting trends for both teams.

The Spread

Despite dropping their first two contests, the Titans are a 2.5-point favorite against the Packers (via OddsShark). Let’s look at how both teams have fared against the spread.

• The Titans are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games.
• Tennessee has covered the spread only once in its last seven Sunday games (1-5-1).
• In the last five instances in which they were listed as the favorite, the Titans are 1-4 against the spread.
• The Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last six outings.
• Green Bay is 6-2 ATS in its last eight September games.
• In their last five Week 3 matchups, the Packers are a perfect 5-0 against the spread.

Prediction: Green Bay Packers (+2.5)

Over/Under

In a matchup featuring a pair of inexperienced quarterbacks, the oddsmakers expect a low-scoring game, as the projected over/under total is 38.5 points (via OddsShark). Here is why going with the “under” is the intelligent choice.

• The total has gone UNDER four times in the Titans’ last six games.
• The UNDER total is 6-1 in Tennessee’s last seven matchups against NFC opponents.
• In the Titans’ last six Week 3 outings, the UNDER total has prevailed four times.
• The total has gone UNDER five times in the Packers’ last seven contests against AFC opponents.

Prediction: UNDER 38.5 points

Player Prop Bet

The key player to watch for the Titans is Tony Pollard. He currently has -125 odds of exceeding 64.5 rushing yards and -105 odds of finishing with less than 64.5 yards (via DraftKings). Here’s how his season numbers compared to the estimated total.

• During the season, Pollard is averaging 72.5 yards per contest.
• In two career matchups against the Packers, Pollard has 134 yards on 26 carriers with one touchdown.
• The Titans have played one game at home this season (against the NFC). In that contest, Pollard finished with 82 rushing yards.
• Across his last five outings, Pollard has averaged 60.2 yards per outing, exceeding the yards total for this matchup twice during that stretch.

Prediction: Tony Pollard OVER 64.5 rushing yards