Super Bowl 57 Prop Picks Mega Thread

Super Bowl 57 Prop Picks Mega Thread

Our Super Bowl 57 prop picks mega thread will be updated throughout the week as we amass more and more prop picks. The thread will operate as a live blog and will be updated with a time stamp. All odds are courtesy of DraftKings and are subject to change. We use the odds we’re given during the time of writing.

The Super Bowl is the greatest time of year for any player who likes to utilize the best prop picks with the most value. The enormity of the game and the explosiveness of the players makes the prop market an incredible way to maximize entertainment for the Super Bowl.

Oddsmakers will also offer novelty props, like the who will win the coin toss or how long will the halftime show last. The market for props have never been hotter and we’re here to offer you our best plays for the week ahead.

Spread some peanuts around and have some fun. The latest posts will be added first, so make sure to scroll to see earlier picks!

Saturday, February 11th, 2023, 2:30 pm EST

Jack: Be sure to listen and subscribe to our Saturday picks show!

Saturday, February 11th, 2023, 8:27 am EST

Eagles Total Sacks UNDER 2.5 (+115)

Jack: I forced myself to take some much needed time to spend with my family the remainder of the work week, because my infusion of prop picks had clearly gotten out of hand. Well, now everyone is asleep, so it’s time to consider another prop with some value.

The Eagles’ defensive line is a wrecking crew in the passing game. There are four players on the Eagles who have recorded 10 sacks or more this season. Hassan Reddick has recorded 16 sacks this season, 2nd in the NFL behind only Nick Bosa (18.5).

Between Reddick and his teammates, it seems obvious to most bettors to take the OVER on Philly sacks, especially with a hobbled Mahomes. However, the Kansas City ranks 3rd in the regular season in sacks allowed, averaging 1.3 per game. Yes, some of that is due to Mahomes’ ability to escape the pocket, but the KC offensive line has plenty of talent to battle with the Eagles’ front.

Look for the plus money here and don’t get sucked into taking the OVER. If you really want to play a sacks OVER, play the Chiefs OVER 2.5 sacks. The Eagles give up 2.4 sacks per game, and the Chiefs use the blitz to contain dangerous quarterbacks.

Tuesday, February 7th, 2023, 10:24 pm EST

Will There Be a Score On the Last Play of the Game? Yes (+900)

Jack: I scoured the recesses of the Internet to find some statistics to support this incredible prop. The only link with anything interesting listed the scores of the 2023 NFL playoffs, which reminded me of the Jaguars incredible comeback to win on a last    second field goal in the AFC Wild Card round. I have no idea how many games teams won on last second field goals this season, but I tried googling it four different ways.

I also found this article from 2017 informing all interested parties that there have been exactly three Super Bowls won on last second field goals.

That’s all the information I need to know to be absolutely certain that this will be the fourth walk off Super Bowl win.

Kenny Gainwell OVER 19.5 Yards Rushing (-115)

Jack: The Philadelphia Eagles backup running back has made a big impact this postseason. Gainwell rushed for 112 yards against the Giants in the NFC divisional round. He followed that up with 48 yards against the 49ers in the NFC championship.

The Chiefs tout a mediocre run defense. They rank 15th in DVOA against the rush and have been a liability against second-string running backs this postseason. Jaguars backup, JaMychal Hasty, ran for 36 yards in the AFC divisional round and Bengals backup, Samaje Perine, rushed for 22 yards in the AFC championship.

The Eagles tend to find what works on offense and stick with it. Expect Siriani to call Gainwell’s number enough to get him over the 19.5 yards needed to hit this prop.

Tuesday, February 7th, 2023, 7:04 am EST

Travis Kelce Anytime TD (-135)

Jack: It’s early Tuesday morning and I’m thinking about how Travis Kelce turns into a bloodhound in the red zone, sniffing out those scoring opportunities. Kelce has scored a touchdown in his last five postseason games. He’s found the end zone at least once in 11 of his last 14 postseason games.

The Chiefs don’t have as many options in the receiving core right now, so Kelce should see plenty of targets in the red zone. We don’t get plus money here, but sometimes it’s nice to get a winner.

Gatorade Bath Color: Orange (+350) OR Yellow (+300)

Jack: The logic here is simple: when teams win the Super Bowl, the coach gets a Gatorade bath. The Chiefs favor the orange Gatorade because of its superior sour-to-sweet ratio, and because everyone hates red Gatorade.

The Eagles drink the yellow stuff, because there isn’t really a green Gatorade (unless you count the chromatic hue of the cucumber flavor). Yellow is the closest you can get to the forest-green tint of the Philly jerseys.

Either way, one of these teams is winning the Super Bowl and they are going to douse their coach in the NFL’s favorite sports drink. This is terrific value.

Monday, February 6th, 2023, 10:01 pm EST

Miles Sanders First TD Scorer (+700)

Jack: The Super Bowl is Christmas come early (or late) for your resident Godzilla Wins Prop Guy. There’s no better way to get us starter than with a tasty play with good plus money.

The Eagles average 5.8 points in the first quarter this season. Over their last three games, the number has almost doubled (10.3). Miles Sanders isn’t necessarily a workhorse, but Philadelphia likes to give the ball to him in the red zone. With the sack threat of the Chiefs defensive lines, the Eagles may be more inclined to run the ball if they get in the rd zone.

If the Eagles get the ball first, chances are they will move down the field and into the red zone. I like Sanders to grab that first touchdown at +700.

1st Quarter OVER 9.5 Total Points (-135)

Jack: Let’s stick with out 1st quarter madness here. We already know the Eagles are averaging over 10 points in the first quarter during their last three games, but what about the Chiefs?

They struggled to put up points against the Bengals at home in the AFC championship, nothing one FG in the 1st quarter. However, Kansas City averages 5.4 points in the first quarter this season.

Both of  these teams start fast and are known for their offensive prowess. The Eagles defense is often overlooked and could give an ailing Patrick Mahomes some trouble. I’m willing to wager that the energy will be high for both teams and we’ll see some touchdowns early. Take the OVER in the first quarter.

DISCLAIMER: Godzilla Wins is for entertainment purposes only. Must be 21 or older, and reside in states where sports wagering is legal only. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the Problem Gambling Helpline at 888-532-3500.

Team to Make First Coaches Challenge: Eagles (+100)

Jack: I’ll admit it: I have frantically googled how often does Andy Reid throw a challenge flag at least three times since the Super Bowl props opened up. This is a fun prop because it relies on so many other conditional factors that are impossible to predict.

If you begin searching for information of this prop, you’ll see a lot of guys get into the psychology of the coaches. The argument goes like this: Nick Siriani will be nervous and throw a flag because it’s his first Super Bowl. Andy Reid has been to three Super Bowls so he won’t throw the first flag. Don’t listen to this reasoning. None of us are close to these coaches. They’re professionals. They don’t get to the Super Bowl by throwing anxiety-challenge flags.

Here’s the only stat you need to know. In three Super Bowls, Andy Reid has never challenged a play. In those three Super Bowls, his opponent has challenged at least one play in each Super Bowl. Go with the trends here.

Super Bowl 57 MVP: Chris Jones (+4000)

Jack: In the last ten years, only two defensive players have won Super Bowl MVP. Von Miller (Super Bowl 50) and Malcolm Smith (Super Bowl 48). Both of those teams (Broncos and Seahawks) were defined by their defenses and the leader of the defense took home the MVP trophy.

There is smarter money to be played on Super Bowl 57, but I can’t overlook Chris Jones here. He led the league in sacks this year and disrupted Joe Burrow and the Bengals offense all night during the AFC championship. With Mahomes, Hurts, and Brown dealing with injuries, why not take a chance on Chris Jones?

Stay tuned for more updates on the Super Bowl 57  prop picks mega thread.

DISCLAIMER: Godzilla Wins is for entertainment purposes only. Must be 21 or older, and reside in states where sports wagering is legal only. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the Problem Gambling Helpline at 888-532-3500.

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