OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS. MILWAUKEE BUCKS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — February 3, 2025

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS. MILWAUKEE BUCKS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — February 3, 2025 — Greetings, basketball fans. Welcome back to our NBA coverage here at Godzilla Wins. One of the games on tap from today’s slate features the Oklahoma City Thunder (38-10 SU, 30-18 ATS) hosting the Milwaukee Bucks (27-20 SU, 22-24-1 ATS).

Here is a look at which squad has the edge going into this matchup and why.

Tipoff

When: Monday, February 3, 2025 @ 8:00 PM ET

Where: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK

TV: FDSOK and FDSWI

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Milwaukee Bucks Odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Milwaukee Bucks — Preview & Betting Trends

Thunder Look To Build On Dominant Win Over Sacramento

Following a 121-115 setback against the Dallas Mavericks on Jan. 23, the Thunder have won two of their last three games, including a blowout 144-110 win against the Sacramento Kings on Saturday night.

Aaron Wiggins, who averages 10 points per game, scored a team-high 41 points and collected 14 rebounds. He also shot 16-for-30 from the field and converted six of his 14 attempts from beyond the arc.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander added 29 points, nine assists, and six rebounds, while Lu Dort chipped in with 20 points and seven boards. OKC held a five-point advantage after the opening quarter.

However, thanks to a 29-11 run to end the second quarter, the home team took an 82-55 lead into halftime and never looked back. Oklahoma City dominated the rebounding battle, 70-37. The Thunder also outscored Sacramento in the paint by a 74-50 margin.

Struggling Bucks Aim To End Three-Game Skid

On the other side of this matchup, the Bucks have dropped their last three contests following a 15-point win against the Utah Jazz on Jan. 27. This includes a 132-119 loss to the Memphis Grizzlies on Sunday night.

Giannis Antetokounmpo led a quartet of starters that reached double figures. He finished with 30 points, 11 rebounds, and seven assists on 66 percent shooting from the floor.

Damian Lillard and Brook Lopez added 15 points apiece, and Taurean Prince contributed 13 points, seven rebounds, and five assists. Milwaukee led by six points through the first 36 minutes of action. However, Memphis seized control of the game in the final frame, outscoring its opponent 39-20, handing the Bucks their fourth loss in their previous five outings.

Now that we have set the stage for this pivotal showdown, let’s examine the betting trends for both teams.

Thunder vs. Bucks Spread Analysis

Following its 34-point victory over the Kings, OKC enters this matchup as a 10.5-point favorite (per OddsShark.com). Here is a look at how both teams have fared against the spread this season.

• The Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
• OKC has covered the spread in its previous five matchups against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Thunder are 4-2 ATS in their last six contests against teams in the Central Division.
• Meanwhile, the Bucks are also 1-4 ATS in their previous five outings.
• Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last six matchups against Oklahoma City.
• In their previous nine games against Northwest Division teams, the Bucks are 6-3 against the spread.

Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder (-10.5)

Thunder vs. Bucks Over/Under Prediction

The projected scoring total for this matchup is 233 points (via OddsShark.com). Let’s see why going with the “over” is the smart play.

• The total has gone OVER in each of the Thunder’s last six games.
• The OVER total is 4-2 in OKC’s previous six matchups against Milwaukee.
• The total has gone OVER 10 times in the Bucks’ last 12 outings.
• The OVER total has prevailed seven times in Milwaukee’s previous eight road contests.

Prediction: OVER 233 points

Thunder vs. Bucks Player Prop Bet

Given that he leads the team in scoring, assists, and steals, Gilgeous-Alexander is the key player to watch for the home team. He currently has -120 odds of scoring more than 33.5 points and -110 odds of finishing with less than 33.5 points (via DraftKings.com).

Here is a look at how his numbers stack up against the projected points total for this matchup.

• During the season, Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.4 points per game.
• In 11 career matchups against Milwaukee, he has averaged 20.7 points, 4.9 rebounds, and 4.4 assists per outing.
• Gilgeous-Alexander has suited up in 23 home games this season. In those contests, he averages 32.6 points per contest.
• Across his last five starts, SGA has put up 39.8 points per game, exceeding the point total for this matchup four times during that stretch.

Prediction: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OVER 33.5 points