LOS ANGELES RAMS VS. GREEN BAY PACKERS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — October 6, 2024

LOS ANGELES RAMS VS. GREEN BAY PACKERS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — October 6, 2024 — Greetings, football fans. Welcome back to our NFL coverage here at Godzilla Wins. One of several games on Sunday’s slate features the Los Angeles Rams (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS) hosting the Green Bay Packers (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS).

Here is a look at which squad has the edge going into this matchup and why.

Kickoff

When: Sunday, October 6, 2024 @ 4:25 PM ET

Where: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA

TV: CBS

Los Angeles Rams vs. Green Bay Packers Odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings

Los Angeles Rams vs. Green Bay Packers — In-Season Stats & Betting Trends

The Rams have dropped three of their first four games this season, including a 24-18 setback against the Chicago Bears in Week 4. Matthew Stafford completed 20 of 29 passes for 224 yards, with one interception. Kyren Williams powered the ground game with 94 yards on 19 carries and a touchdown, while Tutu Atwell caught four passes for 82 yards. In addition to winning the time of possession battle, Los Angeles outgained Chicago 322-264 and held its opponent to a 33.3 conversion rate on third down, but could not make enough plays in a very winnable game.

At the opposite end of the spectrum, the Packers are coming off a 31-29 loss to the Minnesota Vikings. Jordan Love was under center for the green and gold after missing the last two games with an injured MCL. He finished 32 of 54 for 389 yards and four touchdowns. Both numbers are career highs. However, Love also matched a career-high with three interceptions. Josh Jacobs (nine carries for 51 yards) and Emanuel Wilson (eight carries totaling 27 yards) accounted for 78 of the team’s 86 rushing yards. Jayden Reed hauled in seven catches for 139 yards and one touchdown. Green Bay trailed 28-7 in the first half before rallying to trim the deficit to two points in the final frame. Unfortunately, their comeback attempt fell a bit short.

Rams’ Defense vs. Packers’ Offense

The Rams are still without their top two receivers, Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua. This factor contributes to the team averaging just 18.8 points per contest. Defensively, they are ranked 31st in points allowed (28.8 PPG),  31st in total yards per game (385.3), and 32nd in rushing yards allowed (165.5 YPG). With that in mind, the Packers — who have the sixth-highest scoring average in the league and rank third in total yards (417.8) — will have no trouble against a Rams’ secondary that has given up big plays all season.

Now that we have set the stage for this matchup, let’s examine the betting trends for both teams.

The Spread

The Rams enter this matchup as a three-point underdog (via OddsShark.com). Let’s see how both teams have fared against the spread.

• The Rams are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games.
• Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS in its last five home contests against Green Bay.
• In their last 11 October outings, the Rams are 3-8 against the spread.
• Meanwhile, the Packers have covered the spread six times in their previous eight games.
• Green Bay is a perfect 10-0 ATS in their last 10 matchups against Los Angeles.
• The Packers are 9-1 ATS in their previous 10 outings against NFC West opponents.

Prediction: Green Bay Packers (-3)

Over/Under

This matchup’s projected scoring output is 48.5 points (via BleacherNation.com). Here are the teams’ over/under trends for this contest.

• The total has gone OVER nine times in the Rams’ last 12 games.
• In Los Angeles’s eight previous outings against NFC opponents, the OVER total has prevailed six times.
• The total has gone OVER 10 times in the Packers’ last 13 games.
• The OVER total 8-1 in Green Bay’s nine previous road outings.
• In the Packers’ last 10 contests against NFC teams, the OVER total has cashed in eight times.

Prediction: OVER 48.5 points

Player Prop Bet

Matthew Stafford is the key player to watch for the home team. He currently has -115 odds of exceeding 236.5 passing yards and -115 odds of finishing with less than 236.5 yards (per DraftKings). Here’s a look at how his numbers stack up against the estimated points total.

• During the season, Stafford is averaging 244.5 yards per outing.
• In 21 career matchups against the Packers, Stafford has averaged 284.6 yards per outing with a 90.2 passer rating.
• The Rams have played just one of their four games at SoFi Stadium this season. Stafford completed 16 of 25 passes for 221 yards and one touchdown in that contest.
• Stafford has averaged 269.0 yards per game across his previous five outings, exceeding the yards total for this matchup twice during that stretch.

Prediction: Matthew Stafford OVER 236.5 passing yards