John Fredericks: MLB Moneyline Wagers for Friday, July 7

JOHN FREDERICKS: MLB MONEYLINE WAGERS FOR FRIDAY, JULY 7 2023 – Another nice winning day yesterday where we were 3-2 and plus +$130. We’ve been very hot this last week, winning nearly $1,200 and trimming our deficit to minus -$480. We have battled back after a tough two-week span in late June. I love Friday night lights, so here we go!

2023 MLB Godzilla Season Stats

187-157-1, -$480

*Based on all wagers at $100 per game at money or run line odds as specified in Draft Kings. Note: If money line is -$150, we are laying $150 to win $100, etc.  If we take +$130 and we win, we win $130 for our $100.

July 7, 2023

Braves (-110) at Rays

Whenever I can get Charlie Morton at -115 I’ll take it. This is a potential WS matchup – the best two teams in each league right now squaring off. This should be a great series and the Braves just keep rolling along. Tyler Glasnow has a 5.03 ERA at home this season. Remember the Rays have won a lot of games against bad teams so this is a test. If they win this series I will believe.

Pick: Atlanta (-110)

Oakland at Boston (-1.5 Runs, -120)

Boston is hitting at Fenway again and Oakland has averaged 3.5 runs per game against lefty starters. A’s foes have averaged 6.5 runs at home, and Boston is averaging 5.5 runs a game at Fenway.

The A’s Luis Medina gets the ball with an ERA of 6.37 and a WHIP of 1.64. His road ERA is worse: 7.35. Yikes. Bombs away at Fenway!

Pick: Boston (-1.5 runs, -120)

Astros at M’s

The Astros are banged up and playing basically half a team. Hunter Brown got banged around in his last two starts. This is why this game is EVEN in Houston. This is sucker bet for the Mariners who the wise guys in Vegas have bet down from the opening line of -140 last night to pick ‘em. LOL. These Vegas dopes always lose.

Pick: Houston (EVEN)

Reds at Brewers (-115)

The Reds are the hottest team in baseball. They have over-performed in stunning fashion. They have done this with dreadful pitching metrics.

Corbin gets the start for Milwaukee and while he has not been at his best in his last several starts he ranks high in all the intangible numbers, including whiff rate.

The Red’s Andrew Abbott, ranks in the bottom 10 percent of all qualifying pitchers regarding Average Exit Velocity, (AEV) and Hard Hit (HH) percentage. His 1.21 ERA is a façade when balls are being blasted off the bat. His luck runs out tonight.

Pick: Brewers (-115)

Cards (-115) at White Sox

Chicago played a tough DH yesterday against the Jays dropping both ends. They can’t seem to win games. The Dylan Cease love affair (with me is over) as he is the streakiest SOB in baseball.

In the meantime the Cards have slowly gotten back to being something resembling respectful and Jordan Montgomery was very sharp in his last outing.

I like the Cards to start beating the bad teams and go from there.

 Pick: Cards (-115)

Angels at Dodgers (-175)

No Trout, no Angels.

Pick: Dodgers (-175)

Pirates at D-Backs (-200)

Zac Gallen who is 8-0 at home with a home ERA of 1.50 vs. Rich Hill, who should have retired four years ago? This is a nice play even at minus $200, for a first place team at home against a 40-47 team who can’t win on the road anyway. Nothing is guaranteed in baseball, there ARE NO LOCKS EVER, but this is a mismatch on paper and worth laying 2:1.

Pick: D-Backs (-200)