Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces Expert Expert Pick And Predictions – May 25, 2024

INDIANA FEVER VS. LAS VEGAS ACES EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS—MAY 25, 2024—Greetings, basketball fans. Welcome to our WNBA coverage here at Godzilla Wins. One of the games on tap from today’s slate features the Indiana Fever (1-5) taking on the Las Vegas Aces (2-1).

Here is a look at which squad has the edge going into this matchup and why.

Tipoff

When: Saturday, May 25, 2024 @ 9:00 PM ET

Where: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NV

TV: NBA  TV

Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces Expert Odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings

Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces Expert– In-Season Stats & Betting Trends

Can The Fever Post Their Second Straight Win?

It is safe to say the Indiana Fever were filled with hope and optimism coming into the 2024 campaign. That tends to happen when you draft one of the best collegiate players of all time with your first-round selection.

However, that joy has been somewhat stymied as the Fever dropped their first five games. But alas, the losing skid FINALLY ended with a 78-73 victory over the Los Angeles Sparks on Friday night. Despite trailing by a double-digit deficit at the break, Indiana turned up their defensive intensity, outscoring Los Angeles by a 44-28 margin in the second half.

Kelsey Mitchell scored a team-high 18 points to go along with two rebounds and two assists. Reigning Rookie of the Year Aliyah Boston added 17 points on 8-for-14 shooting from the field. She also tallied six rebounds, two assists, and two steals.

Caitlin Clark did not have a great shooting night (4-for-14 overall and 2-for-9 from distance), but she did produce a double-double that included 11 points and 10 boards. Additionally, she had eight assists and four steals.

It will be interesting to see if the momentum from their first win will carry over against the defending champions.

Will Defending Champs Get Back Into The Win  Column Against The Fever?

On the other side, we have an Aces squad that started the season 2-0. That streak ended abruptly as the Phoenix Mercury defeated them 98-88 on Tuesday night. The two teams were separated by just one point at the break, with Las Vegas leading 47-46, and the first 20 minutes of action included five ties and 11 lead changes.

The Mercury controlled the second half 52-41, including a 27-21 edge in the third quarter—a period in which they made seven 3-pointers. Additionally, the Mercury’s second unit outscored Las Vegas’ reserves by a 27-2 margin.

Kelsey Plum scored a team-high 27 points, along with five assists on a 7-for-14 effort from beyond the arc. Jackie Young chipped in with 23 points, eight boards, and eight dimes. A’ja Wilson added 21 points, 13 rebounds, and two blocked shots.

Will the Aces have a hangover following their double-digit loss, or will they get back into the win column against a Fever team that has dropped five of its first six contests?

Now that we have set the stage for this matchup let’s examine the betting trends for both sides.

The Spread

Despite coming off a double-digit loss in their previous outing, the Aces are a 14.5-point favorite (via BleacherNation.com).

• The Aces are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
• Las Vegas is 2-4 ATS in its last six home contests.
• In their last seven home games against Indiana, the Aces are 2-5 against the spread.
• Meanwhile, the Fever have covered the spread four times in their last five outings.
• Indiana is 5-2 ATS in its last seven road games.
• In their last six home matchups against Las Vegas, the Fever are 4-2 against the spread.

The Aces have had three days off since their last game, while the Fever are coming off an emotional victory and will be playing for the second time in as many nights. That said, look for the Aces to bounce back and in a big way.

Prediction: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)

Over/Under

The projected over/under for this matchup is 174 points (via OddShark). Here are a few trends that suggest why going with the “under” is the smart choice.

• The total has gone UNDER six times in the Aces’ last seven matchups against Indiana.
• The UNDER total is 7-3 in the Fever’s last 10 road contests.
• The two teams have failed to exceed the over/under total for this matchup four times in the previous five head-to-head matchups.

Prediction: UNDER 174 points

Player Prop Bet

Las Vegas Center A’ja Wilson is the key player to watch in this matchup. She currently has -110 odds of scoring more than 24.5 points and -120 odds of scoring less than 24.5 points.

Here is a look at how her numbers stack up against the projected points total for this matchup.

• Wilson is averaging 24.3 points per contest through the first three games of the season.
• Wilson has suited up against the Fever 17 times in her career. She has averaged 21.6 PPG in those matchups.
• In her last 10 games, the two-time WNBA champion has averaged 24.9 points and 11.8 rebounds per contest.

Prediction: A’ja Wilson OVER 24.5 points