GREEN BAY PACKERS VS. INDIANAPOLIS  COLTS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — September 15, 2024

GREEN BAY PACKERS VS. INDIANAPOLIS  COLTS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — September 15, 2024 — Greetings, football fans. Welcome to our NFL coverage here at Godzilla Wins. One of several games on Sunday’s slate features the Green Bay Packers (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) hosting the Indianapolis Colts (0-1 SU, 1-0 ATS).

Here is a look at which squad has the edge going into this matchup and why.

Kickoff

When: Sunday, September 15, 2024 @ 1:00 PM ET

Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay,  WI

TV: FOX

Green Bay Packers vs. Indianapolis Colts Odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings

Green Bay Packers vs. Indianapolis Colts – In-Season Stats & Betting Trends

The Packers jumped out to a 6-0 lead against the Philadelphia Eagles last week. Both offenses exploded in the second and third quarters, as six touchdowns were scored in seven total possessions between these two teams. In the end, though, the Eagles came out on top 34-29. To make matters worse, Jordan Love suffered a sprained MCL injury in the game’s waning moments and is expected to be out for several weeks. Malik Willis will take the reins in Love’s absence. In parts of 12 NFL games, he has completed just 52 percent of his passes with no touchdowns to go along with three interceptions. He has also been sacked 15 times. Simply put, Packers fans may want to brace themselves for an ugly game on Sunday.

On the other side of the spectrum, the Colts also came up short in their season opener, falling to the Houston Texans 29-27. Anthony Richarson completed nine of 19 passes for 219 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. He also accumulated 56 rushing yards on six carries and a three-yard TD run. Unfortunately, the Colts’ defense was less than stellar, allowing 414 yards, including 213 on the ground. Additionally, Houston’s offense held the ball for a whopping 40 minutes. The good news is the Colts will be facing a Packers offense that could struggle to put points on the board without its star quarterback in the fold.

Now that we have set the stage for this Week 2 showdown, let’s examine the betting trends for both teams.

The Spread

Without Jordan Love under center, the Packers enter this matchup as a three-point underdog (via OddsShark). Here’s a look at how both teams have performed against the spread.

• The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
• Green Bay is 6-0 in its last six Week 2 outings.
• In their previous 19 September contests, the Packers are 14-5 against the spread.
• Meanwhile, the Colts are just 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
• Indianapolis is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 matchups against Green Bay.
• The Colts are 8-0 ATS in their last eight outings against NFC North opponents.

Prediction: Indianapolis Colts (-3)

Over/Under

The current projected over/under total for this matchup opened at 47 points but has dipped to 41 points (via OddsShark). Here is why going with the “over” is an intelligent choice.

• The total has gone OVER eight times in the Packers’ previous 10 games.
• The OVER total is 7-0 in the previous seven meetings between these teams.
• In the Packers’ previous 10 contests against AFC South teams, the OVER total is 7-3.
• The total has gone OVER six times in the Colts’ last eight games.
• In Indianapolis’s last 12 games, the OVER total has prevailed eight times.

Prediction: OVER 41 points

Player Prop Bet

The key player to watch in this matchup is Jonathan Taylor. He currently has -110 odds of exceeding the 80.5 rushing yards threshold and -110 odds of finishing with less than 80.5 yards (via DraftKings). Here’s how his 2023 stats stack up against the projected yards total.

• During the 2023 campaign, Taylor averaged 74.1 yards per game.
• In one career matchup against the Packers, Taylor rushed for 90 yards on 22 carries.
• Taylor faced off against NFC teams four times last season. In those contests, he averaged 69.0 yards per outing.
• In six home games last season, he averaged 93.8 yards in those outings.
• Across his last five outings, Taylor averaged 93.2 yards per game, exceeding the yards total for this matchup three times during that stretch.

Prediction: Jonathan Taylor OVER 80.5 yards