GREEN BAY PACKERS VS. HOUSTON TEXANS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — October 20, 2024

GREEN BAY PACKERS VS. HOUSTON TEXANS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — October 20, 2024 — Greetings, football fans. Welcome back to our NFL coverage here at Godzilla Wins. One of several games on Sunday’s slate features the Green Bay Packers (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS) hosting the Houston Texans (5-1 SU, 2-3-1 ATS).

Here is a look at which squad has the edge going into this matchup and why.

Kickoff

When: Sunday, October 20, 2024 @ 1:00 PM ET

Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI

TV: CBS

Green Bay Packers vs. Houston Texans Odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings

Green Bay Packers vs. Arizona Cardinals — In-Season Stats & Betting Trends

Following a 31-29 setback against the Minnesota Vikings on Sep. 29, the Packers have responded with back-to-back victories against the Los Angeles Rams (24-19) and the Arizona Cardinals (34-13). In the blowout win over Arizona, Jordan Love — who completed passes to nine different receivers — threw for 258 yards with four touchdowns and one interception. It was the second time he has tossed four TDs in his last three contests. Green Bay raced out to a 24-0 lead in the second quarter before the Cardinals answered with 13 straight points, including 10 to close out the first half and a field goal in the third quarter, but Arizona would not score again the rest of the way.

“We talked about coming into this game just playing four quarters of complementary football, and thought that was about as good as we could’ve done it,” Packers coach Matt LaFleur said via ESPN. “There’s always stuff that we can clean up, but I thought all in all, just the effort from start to finish, the focus from start to finish, was exactly what is a great formula for winning football.”

On the other side of this matchup, the Texans are riding the wave of a three-game winning streak, including an easy 41-21 victory against the New England  Patriots last week. C.J. Stroud finished 20 for 31 for 192 yards, with three touchdowns and one interception. After missing the team’s previous three games with an ankle injury, Joe Mixon spearheaded the ground game with 102 yards on 13 carries and one touchdown. Stefon Diggs caught six passes for 77 yards and a score, while Tank Dell had seven catches for 57 yards and a touchdown. On the other side of the ball, Houston recorded four sacks and forced turnovers while holding New England to 3 for 13 on third down.

Although the Texans are a middle-of-the-road squad in rushing yards allowed per game, they are third in total yards per outing (277), fourth in passing yards allowed (163.1), and fourth in sacks with 19. Conversely, the Packers’ offense is ranked 10th in passing yards per outing (233.7), fourth in total yards per contest (400.8), and second in rushing yards per game (167.2). It will be interesting to see which unit rises to the occasion in what should be a close game.

Now that we have set the stage for this interconference showdown, let’s examine the betting trends for both sides.

Hey, make sure you check out our picks on the GW Daily Picks page.

The Spread

The Packers opened as a 1.5-point favorite, but the line has moved to three points for the home team (via OddsShark.com). Let’s see how both teams have fared against the spread.

• The Packers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 outings.
• Green Bay has covered the spread six times in its last eight home contests.
• In their five matchups against AFC opponents, the Packers are 4-1 against the spread.
• Meanwhile, the Texans are 1-7 ATS in their previous eight Week 7 games.
• Arizona is 1-3-1 ATS in its last five matchups against Green Bay.

Prediction: Green Bay Packers (-3)

Over/Under

This matchup’s projected scoring output is 47.5 points (via BleacherNation.com). Let’s see why going with the “under” is the intelligent choice.

• The total has gone UNDER four times in the Packers’ last five games against Houston.
• The UNDER total is 5-1 in Green Bay’s previous six October outings.
• The total has gone UNDER four times in the Texan’s last five contests.
• The UNDER total has prevailed six times in Houston’s last seven matchups against NFC opponents.
• In the Texans’ previous seven October games, the UNDER total is 6-1.

Prediction: UNDER 47.5 points

Player Prop Bet

On the heels of an efficient outing against the Cardinals, Jordan Love is the key player to watch for the green and gold in this matchup. He currently has -115 odds of exceeding 247.5 rushing yards and -115 odds of finishing with less than 247.5 yards (per DraftKings). Here’s a look at how his numbers stack up against the estimated yards total.

• During the season, Love is averaging 282.8 yards per game.
• Love has suited up in two home games this season. He has averaged 323.5 yards per outing in those contests.
• Love has averaged 290.3 yards per game over his last three starts, exceeding the yards total for this matchup twice during that stretch.

Prediction: Jordan Love OVER 247.5 passing yards