GREEN BAY PACKERS VS. DETROIT LIONS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — November 3, 2024

GREEN BAY PACKERS VS. DETROIT LIONS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — November 3, 2024 — Greetings, football fans. Welcome back to our NFL coverage here at Godzilla Wins. One of several games on Sunday’s slate features the Green Bay Packers (6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS) hosting the Detroit Lions (6-1 SU, 6-1 ATS).

Here is a look at which squad has the edge going into this matchup and why.

Kickoff

When: Sunday, November 3, 2024 @ 4:25 PM ET

Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI

TV: FOX

Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions Odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings

Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions — In-Season Stats & Betting Trends

After a 2-2 start, the Packers have won four straight games, including a 30-27 victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 8. Green Bay led 27-17 before the Jaguars rallied to tie the game at 27. With Jordan Love nursing a groin injury, Malik Willis rose to the occasion again, completing four of five passes for 56 yards, including a 51-yard completion to Jayden Reed that set up Brandon McManus’ game-winning field as time expired. Josh Jacobs was the marquee performer of the game, with 127 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 25 carries. This marked the second time he has topped the 100-yard threshold this season.

Meanwhile, the Lions have been playing some good football as well. Following a 20-16 setback against the Tampa Buccaneers in Week 2, Detroit has reeled off five consecutive victories, including a one-sided 52-14 win over the Tennessee Titans last week. As the final score indicates, the Lions’ offense was very efficient. Jared Goff threw three touchdown passes despite accumulating just 85 passing yards. He has just 18 incompletions over his last five outings.

Jahmyr Gibbs spearheaded the ground game with 127 rushing yards and a touchdown. This is the first time he has produced back-to-back 100-yard performances this season. Detroit converted all five red-zone opportunities, and its special teams produced 262 yards, including Kalif Raymond’s 90-yard punt return for a touchdown and a 72-yard kickoff return from Khalil Dorsey. Simply put, Detroit is a matchup nightmare when it’s clicking on all cylinders.

Green Bay’s Defense vs. Detroit’s Offense

Green Bay leads the league in takeaways (19) and ranks second in interceptions (10). Detroit is averaging a league-best 33.4 points per game and has put up 40 or more points thrice in its last four outings. Given these trends, this promises to be one of the best games Week 9 has to offer.

Now that we have set the stage for this divisional showdown, let’s examine the betting trends for both sides.

Hey, make sure you check out our picks on the GW Daily Picks page.

The Spread

On the heels of a five-game winning streak, the Lions enter this contest as a three-point favorite (via OddsShark.com). Let’s see how both teams have fared against the spread.

• The Packers are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games.
• Green Bay has covered the spread six times in its previous eight matchups against NFC opponents.
• The Packers are 3-7 against the spread the last 10 times they have played in Week 9.
• The Lions are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five outings.
• Detroit has covered the spread in each of its last six road contests.
• In their last five matchups against Green Bay, the Lions are 4-1 against the spread.

Prediction: Detroit Lions (-3)

Over/Under

This matchup’s projected scoring output is 47.5 points (via OddsShark.com). Let’s see why going with the “over” is the intelligent choice.

• The total has gone OVER four times in the Packers’ last six games against Detroit.
• In Green Bay’s previous seven matchups against NFC North opponents, the OVER has prevailed five times.
• The OVER total boasts a 5-2 record in the Packers’ last seven November outings.
• The total has gone OVER four times in the Lions’ previous five games.
• In Detroit’s last seven matchups against teams in the NFC North, the OVER total has cashed in six times.
• The OVER total is 5-1 in the Lions’ previous six November contests.

Prediction: OVER 47.5 points

Player Prop Bet

Fresh off his second-highest rushing total this season, Josh Jacobs is the key player to watch for the home team. He currently has -115 odds of rushing for more than 65.5 yards (via BettingHero.com). Here’s how his numbers stack up against the projected total.

• During the season, Jacobs is averaging 83.4 yards per game.
• In two career matchups against Detroit, he has averaged 90.5 yards per outing.
• The Packers have played four home games this season. In those contests, Jacobs averages 85 yards per outing.
• Across his last three outings, Jacobs has averaged 88.3 yards per game, exceeding the yards total for this projected matchup twice during that stretch.

Prediction: Josh Jacobs OVER 65.5 rushing yards