GREEN BAY PACKERS VS. ARIZONA CARDINALS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — October 13, 2024

GREEN BAY PACKERS VS. ARIZONA CARDINALS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — October 13, 2024 — Greetings, football fans. Welcome back to our NFL coverage here at Godzilla Wins. One of several games on Sunday’s slate features the Green Bay Packers (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) hosting the Arizona Cardinals (2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS).

Here is a look at which squad has the edge going into this matchup and why.

Kickoff

When: Sunday, October 13, 2024 @ 1:00 PM ET

Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI

TV: FOX

Green Bay Packers vs. Arizona Cardinals Odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings

Green Bay Packers vs. Arizona Cardinals — In-Season Stats & Betting Trends

After a 31-29 defeat at the hands of the Minnesota Vikings in Week 4, the Packers bounced back with a 24-19 victory last week. In his second start after missing two games with a knee injury, Jordan Love threw for 224 yards, with two TDs and one pick-six interception in the second quarter. However, after that sequence, he completed 12 of his next 13 passing attempts, guiding Green Bay to a pair of touchdown drives in the second half.

On the other hand, the Cardinals had suffered consecutive losses against the Detroit Lions and the Washington Commanders. And they were on the verge of dropping their third straight game as they trailed 23-10 after the first half of their Week 5 matchup against the San Francisco 49ers. However, thanks to a solid defensive effort that held the reigning NFC champions scoreless in the second half, Arizona escaped with a 24-23 victory to improve to 2-3 on the season.

This NFC tilt should be a high-scoring affair, featuring middle-of-the-pack defenses at best. Now that we have set the stage for this matchup let’s examine the betting trends for both sides.

Hey, make sure you check out our picks on the GW Daily Picks page.

The Spread

The Packers opened as a 4.5-point favorite, but the line has moved to 5.5 points for the home team (via OddsShark.com). Let’s see how both teams have fared against the spread.

• The Packers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games.
• Green Bay has covered the spread five times in its last seven home contests.
• In their last eight Week 6 outings, the Packers are 1-7 against the spread.
• Meanwhile, the Cardinals are 5-2 ATS in their previous seven games.
• Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last six road outings.
• In their last eight matchups against NFC North opponents, the Cardinals are 1-7 against the spread.

Prediction: Green Bay Packers (-5.5)

Over/Under

This matchup’s projected scoring output is 47.5 points (via BleacherNation.com). Let’s see why going with the “over” is the intelligent choice.

• The total has gone OVER 10 times in the Packers’ last 14 games.
• The OVER total is 8-3 in Green Bay’s last 11 matchups against NFC opponents.
• In the Cardinals’ previous nine contests, the OVER total has prevailed six times.
• Green Bay and Arizona average a combined 49.6 points per game, 2.1 points more than the over/under for this game.
• Opponents of these two teams have averaged 47.4 points per contest, which is 0.1 points lower than the projected total.

Prediction: OVER 47.5 points

Player Prop Bet

After notching his first touchdown with the green and gold last week, Josh Jacobs is the key player to watch for Green Bay in this matchup. He currently has -120 odds of exceeding 67.5 rushing yards and -110 odds of finishing with less than 67.5 yards (per DraftKings). Here’s a look at how his numbers stack up against the estimated yards total.

• During the season, Jacobs is averaging 80.4 yards per game.
• In his lone career matchup against the Cardinals (in 2022), Jacobs finished with 69 yards on 19 carries.
• The Packers have played two games at home this season. Jacobs has averaged 101 yards per outing in those contests.
• Jacobs has averaged 55.7 yards per game over his last three starts, exceeding the yards total for this matchup only once during that stretch.

Prediction: Josh Jacobs OVER 67.5 rushing yards