GREEN BAY PACKERS AT PHILADELPHIA EAGLES EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — September 6, 2024

GREEN BAY PACKERS AT PHILADELPHIA EAGLES EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — September 6, 2024 — Greetings, football fans. Welcome to our NFL coverage here at Godzilla Wins. The lone game on today’s slate features the Green Bay Packers (0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS) taking on the Philadelphia Eagles (0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS).

Here is a look at which squad has the edge going into this matchup and why.

Kickoff

When: Friday, September 6, 2024 @ 8:15 PM ET

Where: Corinthians Arena in São Paulo, Brazil

TV: Peacock

Green Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles Odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings

Green Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles – In-Season Stats & Betting Trends

The Eagles started last season with 10 wins in their first 11 outings. Unfortunately, they were unable to sustain that early success. In fact, they dropped five of their final six contests, finishing 11-6. To make matters worse, they were unceremoniously bounced out of the wild-card round by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to the tune of 32-9. After looking like a favorite to return to the big game before the wheels came off, Philadelphia is eager to prove that last year’s late-season stumble is a distant memory.

Conversely, the Packers improved during the second half of the season, posting six wins over their final eight contests following a 3-6 start. Green Bay upended the Dallas  Cowboys in the wildcard round by a 48-32 margin. Don’t let the final margin fool you because it was not indicative of how dominant the Packers were against a Dallas squad that had won 16 straight games on its home turf.

Green Bay fell to the Detroit Lions 24-21 in the divisional round. Despite the disappointment of letting a seven-point lead slip through their grasp down the stretch, the Packers have found their next heir apparent at the quarterback position in Jordan Love. Over the team’s final nine games, including the playoffs, Love threw 21 touchdowns and three interceptions, which contributed to the front office signing him to a four-year $220 million deal (including a record-setting $75 million signing bonus) during the offseason.

Can Love help turn the green and gold into one of the conference favorites this season, or will opposing defenses find a way to slow him down?

Now that we have set the stage for this NFC showdown let’s examine the betting trends for both teams.

The Spread

The Packers enter this Week 1 matchup as a two-point underdog. However, the spread varies between 1.5 and 2.5 points depending on which sportsbook you use. Here is a look at how both teams have fared against the spread.

• The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
• Green Bay is 6-3 ATS in its last nine matchups against Philly.
• The Packers are 12-6 ATS in their last 18 contests against NFC opponents.
• The Eagles have failed to cover the spread in their last seven outings.
• Philadelphia is 0-5 ATS in its last five matchups against NFC opponents.
• The Eagles are 0-5 against the spread in their last five games when listed as the favorite.

Prediction: Green Bay Packers (+2)

Over/Under

The projected over/under total for this matchup is currently 48.5 points (via OddsShark.com). Here is why going with the “under” is the intelligent choice.

• The total has gone UNDER in the Packers’ last six road games against Philadelphia.
• The UNDER total is 4-2 in Philadelphia’s last six outings overall.
• In the Eagles’ last 15 matchups against Green Bay, the UNDER total is 11-4.
• During the 2023 campaign, Philadelphia and Green Bay averaged 48 points per contest.
• Last season, opponents of these two teams averaged a combined 45.8 points per outing, 2.7 points less than the point total for this game.

Prediction: UNDER 48.5 points

Player Prop Bet

Jalen Hurts is the key player to watch for the Eagles in this contest. He currently has -110 odds of surpassing 242.5 yards and -110 odds of finishing with less than 242.5 passing yards (via Bet365).

Here is a look at how his numbers stack up against the projected points total for this matchup.

• Last season, Hurts averaged 226.9 passing yards per contest.
• In two career matchups against the Packers, Hurts has thrown for 262 yards with three scores and one interception.
• Hurts faced NFC opponents 12 times in 2023. He averaged 231.6 passing yards in those contests.
• In eight home games in 2023, Philly’s quarterback averaged 245.5 passing yards per game.
• Across his last five outings, including the playoffs, Hurts averaged 183.2 yards per outing.

Prediction: Jalen Hurts UNDER 242.5 yards