Gonzaga vs. LMU Expert Prediction – February 16, 2023

Loyola Marymount

Loyola Marymount is 17-10 and outside of the NCAA picture for the time being, although a couple of wins down the stretch could change that perception.

The Lions come into this one losing three of four, including a heartbreaker to Santa Clara on Saturday and an ugly 28-point loss to BYU. The win, however, was against Saint Mary’s. 

The Lions are 54th in the nation in points scored and 87th in points per game, not to mention 59th in three-point shooting. Cam Shelton leads the way with an eye-popping 20.3 PPG, and he has back-to-back games with 30 or more points.

Betting Trends

Gonzaga is just 9-16 against the spread this season, and Loyola Marymound is 16-9-1. Gonzaga is also just 2-8 in road games against the spread. On the other hand, the Lions recent play hasn’t been encouraging, even with Gonzaga having to come to LA for this contest. 

In the meeting earlier this year, Loyola Marymount tunned Gonzaga in Spokane, 68-67. It was the Cam Shelton Show, and he scored 27 points on 11-23 from the field. Gonzaga has just three scorers in double figures, and Julian Strawther – the team’s second-highest scorer on the year – went 1-8 for 6 points in a disappointing effort. 

The Loyola Marymount defense clamped down in one of the biggest upsets of the season, especially with Gonzaga’s dominance at home over the past half-decade.

The Pick

It’s simple: if Loyola Marymount beats Gonzaga again, the Lions bubble hopes stay alive, and the Bulldogs drop to nearly the brink of the Top 25.

However, Gonzaga won’t let that happen again. The Bulldogs have won five of the last six games since losing to Loyola Marymount, and the Lions are just 3-3 since that game. Gonzaga wins, although the Lions make a late run thanks to another phenomenal effort by Cam Shelton. 

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