GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS VS. PHOENIX SUNS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — January 31, 2025
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS VS. PHOENIX SUNS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — January 31, 2025 — Greetings, basketball fans. Welcome back to our NBA coverage here at Godzilla Wins. One of the games on tap from today’s slate features the Golden State Warriors (24-23 SU, 24-23 ATS) hosting the Phoenix Suns (24-22 SU, 16-29-1 ATS).
Here is a look at which squad has the edge going into this matchup and why.
Tipoff
When: Friday, January 31, 2025 @ 10:00 PM ET
Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
TV: ESPN, NBCS-BA, and AZFamily
Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns Odds
Matchup |
Open |
Spread |
Total |
Moneyline |
Phoenix Suns(24-22 SU, 16-29-1 ATS) |
+1 |
-1 |
O227.5 |
-115 |
Golden State Warriors(24-23 SU, 24-23 ATS) |
U226.5 |
+1 |
U227.5 |
-105 |
Odds courtesy of DraftKings
Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns — Preview & Betting Trends
Warriors Aiming For Third Three-Game Winning Streak Of The Season
The Warriors got off to a hot start this season, winning 12 of their first 15 contests. Unfortunately, Golden State could not sustain its early momentum and has gone 12-20 since then.
However, the Dubs enter this matchup on a two-game winning streak, including a 116-109 win over the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday night. This is no small feat, considering OKC has the best record in the Western Conference and the second-best record in the association.
In that seven-point win against the Thunder, Andrew Wiggins scored a team-high 27 points on 10-for-17 shooting from the field. He also went 5 of 8 from 3-point range.
Stephen Curry added 21 points, four assists, and shot 5-for-10 from 3-point range. Kevin Looney contributed 18 points off the bench, and Gary Payton II chipped in with 15 points and nine rebounds. It did not look good for the Warriors early on, as they trailed by a 14-point deficit after the first quarter. However, they continued to chip away at the lead and finally tied the game at 84 heading into the final frame.
These two teams battled back and forth, with the lead changing hands multiple times in the game’s final moments. But thanks to consecutive 3-point baskets from Curry and Wiggins with less than two minutes left to play, the Warriors held on to beat OKC for the second time this season.
Suns Look To Bounce Back From Loss Against Minnesota
On the other side of this matchup, the Suns have been hovering around the .500 mark following an 8-1 start. And in their recent outing, they came up short against the Minnesota Timberwolves 121-113.
Kevin Durant spearheaded the team’s scoring attack with 33 points, seven assists, and four blocks, making 13 of his 19 shot attempts.
Devin Booker put together a solid performance, finishing with 28 points and eight assists. Bradley Beal and Grayson scored 17 and 11 points, respectively, coming off the bench.
Phoenix held a four-advantage at the break but was outscored 66-54 in the second half. This includes the game-changing third quarter in which they produced 18 points on 7-for-22 shooting from the floor.
Now that we have set the stage for this epic Western Conference showdown let’s examine the betting trends for both teams.
Warriors vs. Suns Spread Analysis
The Warriors opened as a one-point favorite but are now a one-point underdog (per Bet365.com). Here is a look at how both teams have fared against the spread this season.
- The Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
- Golden State is 5-2 ATS in its previous seven matchups against Western Conference opponents.
- However, the Warriors have covered the spread just once in their last 10 outings against divisional foes.
- Meanwhile, the Suns are 5-1 ATS in their previous six matchups against Golden State.
- Phoenix is 5-2 ATS in its last seven matchups against teams in the Pacific division.
Prediction: Phoenix Suns (-1)
Warriors vs. Suns Over/Under Prediction
The projected scoring total for this matchup is 227.5 points (via OddsShark.com). Let’s see why sticking with the “under” could be the way to go.
- The total has gone UNDER four times in the Warriors’ last six outings.
- The UNDER total is 9-3 in Golden State’s previous 12 home games against Phoenix.
- The total has gone UNDER four times in the Suns’ last five contests.
- The UNDER total has prevailed eight times in Golden State’s previous nine matchups against Western Conference opponents.
Prediction: UNDER 227.5 points
Warriors vs. Suns Player Prop Bet
Following his 27-point effort against OKC, Andrew Wiggins is the key player to watch for the home team. He currently has -115 odds of scoring more than 19.5 points and -115 odds of finishing with less than 19.5 points (via Bet365.com).
Here is a look at how his numbers stack up against the projected points total for this matchup.
- During the season, Wiggins is averaging 17.4 points per game.
- In 37 career matchups against Phoenix, Wiggins has compiled averages of 18.0 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 2.1 assists per outing.
- Wiggins has suited up in 23 home games this season. In those contests, he averages 18.0 points per contest.
- Across his last five starts, Wiggins has put up 21.6 points per game, exceeding the points total for this matchup three times during that stretch.
Prediction: Andrew Wiggins OVER 19.5 points
James Tillman’s Warriors vs. Suns Picks |
Spread: Suns (-1)Over/Under: UNDER 227.5 pointsPlayer Prop Bet: Andrew Wiggins OVER 19.5 points |