GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS VS. DALLAS MAVERICKS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — November 12, 2024

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS VS. DALLAS MAVERICKS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — November 12, 2024 — Greetings, basketball fans. Welcome back to our NBA coverage here at Godzilla Wins. One of the games on tap from tonight’s slate features the Golden State Warriors (8-2 SU, 8-2 ATS) hosting the Dallas Mavericks (5-5 SU, 4-5-1 ATS).

Here is a look at which squad has the edge going into this matchup and why.

Tipoff

When: Tuesday, November 12, 2024 @ 10:00 PM ET

Where: Chase Center, San Francisco,  CA

TV: TNT

Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks Odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings

Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks —  In-Season Stats & Betting Trends

Sure, the Warriors are just two years removed from winning the NBA title. At the same time, they have also lost in the play-in round twice over the past four seasons. With that in mind, it would have been difficult to predict what to expect from this group in 2024-25, especially with Klay Thompson’s offseason departure to the Mavericks. Surprisingly, the Dubs have notched eight wins in their first 10 games, including a 127-116 over the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday night.

Stephen Curry was one of three starters in that contest that reached double figures. He finished with a game-high 36 points, five rebounds and seven assists. He shot 13-of-23 from the field and an efficient 7-for-13 from beyond the arc.

De’Anthony Melton added 19 points, 10 rebounds, and two assists, while Anthony Wiggins contributed 18 points, eight boards, and five assists. The Warriors led by a 28-point margin after the third quarter. However, the Thunder battled back, trimming the deficit to eight points (116-108) before Curry knocked down a three-pointer to push the lead back to double digits at the 3:23 mark, and the rest is history. Converting 50.6 percent of their shot attempts, the Warriors became the first Thunder opponent this season to shoot over 50 percent from the field.

Can The Mavericks Shake Off Their Slow Start?

The Mavericks fell to the Boston Celtics 4-1 in last season’s Finals series. However, they have gotten off to a shaky start in 2024-25. They have dropped three of their previous four games and enter this matchup amid a two-game losing streak. In the team’s 122-120 loss to the Denver Nuggets, all five starters scored in double figures, spearheaded by a monster game from Kyrie Irving. He scored 43 points, missing just five of his 22 shot attempts. Irving also converted six of his eight attempts from 3-point range, grabbed five rebounds, and handed out five assists.

Luka Doncic had a strong, all-around game, adding 24 points, nine rebounds and nine assists. Daniel Gafford chipped in with 16 points, seven boards, three assists, and two steals. With the teams tied at 120, Nuggets forward Michael Porter Jr. hit a mid-range jump shot to give Denver a two-point advantage with seven ticks left in regulation. Kyrie Irving missed a three-pointer on the game’s final possession, enabling the home team to notch its fifth straight victory.

Can the Warriors continue their hot start, or will the Mavericks snap their two-game slide? Now that we have set the stage for this Western Conference showdown, let’s examine the betting trends for both teams.

Warriors vs. Mavericks Spread Analysis

Following their double-digit win over the Thunder, Golden State enters this matchup as a 2.5-point favorite (per OddsShark.com). Here is a look at how both teams have fared against the spread this season.

• The Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.
• Golden State is 1-4 ATS in its last five matchups against Western Conference opponents.
• Meanwhile, the Mavericks are 13-6-1 ATS in their previous 20 road contests.
• Dallas has covered the spread six times in its last seven games against Golden State.

Prediction: Dallas Mavericks (+2.5)

Warriors vs. Mavericks Over/Under Prediction

The projected scoring total for this matchup is 232.5 points (via OddsShark.com). Here is why going with the “over” is the intelligent choice.

• The total has gone OVER six times in the Warriors’ last nine matchups against Dallas.
• The OVER total has prevailed six times in Golden State’s previous seven November outings.
• In the Mavericks’ last 10 November contests, the OVER total has cashed in seven times.
• Golden State and Dallas average a combined total of 235.4 points per game, 2.9 points higher than the over/under total.

Prediction: OVER 232.5 points

Warriors vs. Mavericks Player Prop Bet

On the heels of producing his highest-scoring total of the season thus far, Stephen Curry is the key player to watch for the home team in this contest. He currently has -115 odds of scoring more than 25.5 points and -115 odds of finishing with less than 25.5 points (via DraftKings.com).

Here is a look at how his numbers stack up against the projected points total for this matchup.

• During the season, Curry is averaging 22.0 points per game.
• In 43 career matchups against the Mavericks, he has averaged 23.3 points and 6.6 assists per outing.
• Of the seven games he has played, Curry has suited up in just one home game this season. In that contest, he finished with 18 points and six assists on 6-of-11 shooting from the floor.
• Across his last three starts, Curry has averaged 25.0 points, 4.3 rebounds, and six assists per game, exceeding the points total for this matchup twice during that stretch.

Prediction: Stephen Curry OVER 25.5 points