DETROIT LIONS VS. GREEN BAY PACKERS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — December 5, 2024

DETROIT LIONS VS. GREEN BAY PACKERS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — December 5, 2024 — Greetings, football fans. Welcome back to our NFL coverage here at Godzilla Wins. Our Thursday night game features the Detroit Lions (11-1 SU, 9-3 ATS) hosting the Green Bay Packers (9-3 SU, 6-6 ATS) in what should be a very competitive contest.

Here is a look at which squad has the edge going into this matchup and why.

Kickoff

When: Thursday, December 5, 2024 @ 8:15 PM ET

Where: Ford Field, Detroit, MI

TV: Amazon Prime Video

Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers Odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings

Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers — In-Season Stats & Betting Trends

The Lions have won 10 straight games, including a 23-20 nailbiter over the woeful Chicago Bears in Week 13. Although Detroit led 23-7 after three quarters, Chicago fought back, trimming the deficit to 23-20. Fortunately, the Bears squandered a golden opportunity on the game’s final drive, allowing the Lions to escape with a three-point victory. In addition to putting up 400 yards of offense, Detroit’s defense generated five sacks.

On the other side of the matchup, the Packers have also been playing some good football. They enter this tilt amid a three-game winning streak, including a 30-17 victory over the Miami Dolphins on Sunday. It is worth noting that the rushing defense has been outstanding over the past couple of weeks. This unit held Christian McCaffrey to 31 yards on 11 carries and allowed just 39 rushing yards against Miami. It will be interesting to see how this group holds up against a backfield that averages over 140 yards on the ground per game. Will the Packers extend their winning streak to four games, or will the Lions roll to their 11th straight victory?

Now that we have set the stage for this NFC North showdown, let’s examine the betting trends for both teams.

Hey, make sure you check out our picks on the GW Daily Picks page.

Lions vs. Packers Spread Analysis

Detroit opened as a six-point favorite. However, over the past few days, the line has moved to 3.5 points (per OddsShark.com). Here’s a look at how the teams have performed against the spread.

• The Lions are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games.
• Detroit has covered the spread four times in its previous five matchups against NFC North opponents.
• Meanwhile, the Packers are just 2-4 ATS in their last six outings.
• Green Bay is 1-6 ATS in its previous six road contests against Detroit.

Prediction: Detroit Lions (-3.5)

Lions vs. Packers Over/Under Prediction

The projected scoring total for this matchup is 51.5 points (via OddsShark.com). Here’s why going with the “over” is the intelligent choice.

• The total has gone OVER six times in the Lions’ last nine December games.
• The OVER total has hit eight times in Detroit’s previous 12 contests at Ford Field.
• The total has gone OVER in each of the Packers’ last five December outings.
• The UNDER total holds a 5-2 record in Green Bay’s previous seven Week 15 matchups.

Prediction: OVER 51.5 points

Lions vs. Packers Player Prop Bet

In what should be a physical battle between divisional opponents, look for the ground game to take center stage. With that in mind, Jahmyr Gibbs is the key player to watch for the home team in this matchup. He currently has -110 odds of exceeding 68.5 rushing yards and -120 odds of finishing with less than 68.5 yards (via DraftKings). Let’s see how his numbers stack up against the projected yards total.

• During the season, Gibbs is averaging 81.1 yards per game.
• Gibbs has suited up in six home games this season. In those contests, he averages 80.8 yards per outing.
• In eight matchups against NFC teams this season, Gibbs is averaging 77.0 yards per game.
• Gibbs has averaged 79.3 yards per outing across his last four starts, exceeding the projected yards total for this matchup in every game during that stretch.

Prediction: Jahmyr Gibbs OVER 68.5 rushing yards