DETROIT LIONS VS. CHICAGO BEARS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — November 28, 2024

DETROIT LIONS VS. CHICAGO BEARS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — November 28, 2024 — Greetings, football fans. Welcome back to our NFL coverage here at Godzilla Wins. One of the games on tap from Thursday’s slate features the Detroit Lions (10-1 SU, 9-2 ATS) hosting the Chicago Bears (4-7 SU, 5-4-2 ATS).

Here is a look at which squad has the edge going into this matchup and why.

Kickoff

When: Thursday, November 28, 2024 @ 12:30 PM ET

Where: Ford Field, Detroit, MI

TV: CBS

Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears Odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings

Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears — In-Season Stats & Betting Trends

The Lions are on an absolute tear right now. They have reeled off nine straight victories following a Week 2 loss against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This includes a 24-6 win over the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday. Jared Goff finished 26 of 36 for 269 yards. Jahmyr Gibbs powered the team’s rushing attack with 90 yards on 21 carries and two touchdowns. The Lions are 10-1 for the first time since 1934. They are the proud owners of the league’s longest winning streak, including a perfect 6-0 mark on the road. Furthermore, Detroit has not allowed a touchdown in the last 10 quarters while holding its previous three opponents scoreless in the second half.

On the other side of the matchup, the Bears have dropped five straight, including a 30-27 OT loss against the Minnesota Vikings in Week 12. Chicago trailed 27-16 with 1:56 left to play in regulation. However, they rallied to score 11 unanswered points to send the contest into overtime. Although they won the coin toss,  the Bears went three-and-out, and the Vikings responded with a 10-play drive, capped off by Parker Romo’s game-winning field goal. Caleb Williams — who looked solid in his second game under new offensive coordinator Thomas Brown — finished 32 of 47 for 340 yards with two touchdowns. Unfortunately, the rookie’s effort wasn’t enough to help Chicago end its midseason slide.

Now that we have set the stage for this NFC North showdown, let’s examine the betting trends for both teams.

Hey, make sure you check out our picks on the GW Daily Picks page.

Lions vs. Bears Spread Analysis

Detroit opened as a four-point favorite. However, given their nine-game winning streak, the line has moved to 10.5 points (per OddsShark.com). Here’s a look at how the teams have performed against the spread.

• The Lions are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games.
• Detroit has covered the spread in its previous five matchups against NFC opponents.
• In their last 18 contests against NFC North teams, the Lions are 15-3 against the spread.
• Meanwhile, the Bears are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five outings.
• Chicago is 0-4-1 ATS  in its previous five road games.
• In their last six Week 13 matchups, the Bears are a woeful 0-6 against the spread.

Prediction: Detroit Lions (-10.5)

Lions vs. Bears Over/Under Prediction

This matchup’s projected scoring total is 48.5 points (via OddsShark.com). Here’s how both teams have performed against the over/under this season.

• The total has gone UNDER four times in the Lions’ last five games against Chicago.
• The OVER total is a perfect 5-0 in Detriot’s previous five Week 13 outings.
• In the Lions’ last 15 Thursday games, the OVER total has prevailed 10 times.
• The total has gone UNDER four times in the Bears’ previous five games.
• The UNDER total boasts a 7-0 record in Chicago’s last seven road contests.
• In the Bears’ previous seven matchups against NFC North opponents, the UNDER total is 5-2.

Prediction: UNDER 48.5 points

Lions vs. Bears Player Prop Bet

Coming off a performance in which he completed 72.2 percent of his passes, Jared Goff is the key player to watch for the home team in this matchup. He currently has -120 odds of exceeding 243.5 passing yards and -110 odds of finishing with less than 243.5 yards (via DraftKings). Let’s see how his numbers stack up against the projected yards total.

• During the season, Goff is averaging 251 yards per game.
• Goff has suited up in five home games this season. In those contests, he averages 262.6 yards per outing.
• In seven matchups against NFC teams this season, Goff is averaging 250.7 yards per game.
• Goff has averaged 266.5 yards per outing across his last four starts, exceeding the projected yards total for this matchup twice during that stretch.

Prediction: Jared Goff OVER 243.5 passing yards