DETROIT LIONS VS. BUFFALO BILLS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — December 15, 2024

DETROIT LIONS VS. BUFFALO BILLS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — December 15, 2024 — Greetings, football fans. Welcome back to our NFL coverage here at Godzilla Wins. One of the games on tap from Sunday’s slate features the Detroit Lions (12-1 SU, 9-4 ATS) hosting the Buffalo Bills (10-3 SU, 8-5 ATS) in what will be one of the best games from Week 15.

Here is a look at which squad has the edge going into this matchup and why.

Kickoff

When: Sunday, December 15, 2024 @ 4:25 PM ET

Where: Ford Field, Detroit, MI

TV: CBS

Detroit Lions vs. Buffalo Bills

Odds courtesy of DraftKings

Detroit Lions vs. Buffalo Bills — In-Season Stats & Betting Trends

It’s no secret that the Lions are the hottest team in the league right now. Last week, they defeated the Green Bay Packers by a narrow 34-31 margin, giving the franchise its first 11-game winning streak in franchise history. The teams were tied at 31 apiece late in the fourth quarter. Facing a fourth-and-1 at Green Bay’s 21-yard line with 43 seconds left to play, Lions coach Dan Campbell opted to go for it, and his gamble paid off, as David Montgomery gained seven yards on the play. This sequence allowed Jake Bates to hit the game-winning field goal as time expired.

“I just felt like we needed to end it on offense,” Campbell said via ESPN. “I did not want to give the ball back and I believed we could convert. I trust the O-line. I trust David.”

The victory enabled the Lions to remain one game ahead of the Minnesota Vikings and the Philadelphia Eagles for the top spot in the conference.

On the other side of the matchup, the Bills won seven straight games following a 3-2 start. Unfortunately, the impressive streak ended courtesy of a 44-42 loss against the Los Angeles Rams.  Josh Allen did all he could, contributing 424 total yards — 342 through the air and 82 rushing yards. He also became the first player in NFL history to record three passing and three rushing touchdowns in the same game. Unfortunately, it wasn’t enough to help the Bills overcome a 17-point deficit entering the final frame.

Can Detroit churn out another victory, or will the Bills get back into the win column? Now that we have set the stage for this interconference showdown, let’s examine the betting trends for both teams.

Hey, make sure you check out our picks on the GW Daily Picks page.

Lions vs. Bills Spread Analysis

Detroit opened as a two-point favorite. However, at the of this writing, the line has moved to 1.5 points (per OddsShark.com). Here’s a look at how the teams have performed against the spread.

• The Lions are an impressive 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games.
• Detroit has covered the spread nine times in its previous 12 December matchups.
• In their last seven Week 15 outings, the Lions are 5-2 against the spread.
• Meanwhile, the Bills are 6-2 ATS in their previous eight outings.
• Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last five Week 15 contests.
• However, the Bills have covered the spread only three times in their previous nine matchups against Detroit.

Prediction: Detroit Lions (-1.5)

Lions vs. Bills Over/Under Prediction

The projected scoring total for this matchup is 54.5 points (via OddsShark.com). Here’s why going with the “under” is the intelligent choice.

• The total has gone UNDER in the last seven meetings between these teams.
• The UNDER total has hit four times in Detroit’s previous five matchups against AFC East opponents.
• The total has gone UNDER 16 times in the Bills’ last 23 road contests.
• These two squads allow a combined 38.6 points per game, 15.9 fewer points than the over/under for this matchup.

Prediction: UNDER 54.5 points

Lions vs. Bills Player Prop Bet

Amon-Ra St Brown is one of the key players to watch for the home team in this matchup. He currently has -110 odds of exceeding 69.5 receiving yards and -110 odds of finishing with less than 69.5 yards (via Bet365.com). Let’s see how his numbers stack up against the projected yards total.

• During the season, St. Brown is averaging 66.4 yards per game.
• St. Brown has suited up in seven home games this season. In those contests, he averages 65.9 yards per outing.
• In four matchups against AFC teams this season, St. Brown is averaging 72.5 yards per game.
• St. Brown has averaged 84.8 yards per outing across his last four starts, exceeding the projected yards total for this matchup twice during that stretch.

Prediction: Amon-Ra St. Brown OVER 69.5 receiving yards