Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx Expert Expert Pick And Predictions – June 2, 2024

DALLAS WINGS VS. MINNESOTA LYNX EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — JUNE 2, 2024 — Greetings, basketball fans. Welcome back to our WNBA playoff coverage here at Godzilla Wins. After our earlier look at the Sun vs. Dream matchup, one of the other games on tap from tonight’s slate features the Dallas Wings (3-3 SU, 5-1 ATS) taking on the Minnesota Lynx (5-2 SU, 6-1 ATS).

Here is a look at which squad has the edge going into this matchup and why.

Tipoff

When: Sunday, June 2, 2024 @ 7:00 PM ET

Where: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

TV: CBS Sports Network, BSN, and BSSW

Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx Odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings

Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx – In-Season Stats & Betting Trends

Can Dallas Bounce Back From Disappointing Loss To Connecticut?

The Wings enter this matchup having split their first six games of the season. This includes a 74-72 loss to the Connecticut Sun on Friday night. In that contest, Arike Ogunbowale led the team’s scoring attack with 21 points, seven assists, and four rebounds.

Maddy Siegrist added 17 points and two rebounds on a perfect 8-for-8 effort from the field for a Dallas team that shot 51.6 percent from the field.

Trailing by nine heading into the fourth quarter, Dallas outscored Connecticut 22-15 in the final frame and had an opportunity to force an overtime period. Unfortunately, they failed to get off a shot on their final possession.

Can The Lynx Put On Another Defensive Clinic?

Meanwhile, with five victories across their first seven outings, the Lynx are one of the top three teams in the association. In their recent outing, they defeated the Phoenix Mercury to the tune of 95-71. This represents the team’s largest margin of victory on the season.

Alissa Pili led the team with 20 points off the bench. She shot 7-for-9 from the floor and knocked down all four of her attempts from 3-point range.

Napheesa Collier scored 14 points and pulled down 11 rebounds in a game that was very much one-sided for the home team. Minnesota outshot Phoenix 49.3 percent to 38.7 percent and outscored them by 15 points from the 3-point line.

The Lynx also forced 17 turnovers, which resulted in 25 points. Furthermore, the Lynx’s second unit outscored the Mercury’s reserves by a 50-10 margin. Given how well Minnesota performs from a defensive standpoint, the Wings could have their hands full in this one.

Now that we have set the stage for this showdown, let’s examine the betting trends for both sides.

The Spread

The Lynx have the third-best record in the association; they trail the New York Liberty by just a half-game for the No. 2 spot, and they are a 7.5-point favorite heading into this matchup (per BleacherNation.com). Here is a look at how both ball clubs have fared against the spread this season.

• The Lynx are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games.
• Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in its last seven home contests.
• The Lynx are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 matchups against Dallas.
• In their last seven home contests against Dallas, Minnesota is 5-2 against the spread.
• The Wings are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games.
• Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last five road outings.

Prediction: Minnesota Lynx (-7.5)

Over/Under

The projected over/under total for this matchup opened at 164 points (per Lineups.com). Here is why going with the “over” is the smart choice.

• The total has gone OVER four times in the Lynx’s last six outings.
• In Minnesota’s last five matchups against Dallas, the OVER total prevailed each time.
• The OVER total has a 72 percent success rate in the Wings’ last 25 games (18-7).
• In Dallas’s last eight road matchups against Minnesota, the OVER total cashed in six times.

Prediction: OVER 164 points

Player Prop Bet

Minnesota Lynx forward Napheesa Collier leads the team in scoring, rebounding, and steals, thus making her the key player to watch in this matchup. She currently has -115 odds of scoring more than 21.5 points and -115 odds of finishing with less than 21.5 points.

Here is a look at how her numbers stack up against the projected points total for this matchup.

• Collier is averaging 21.0 points per contest through the first seven games of the season.
• In four home games this season, she is averaging 19.0 points per contest.
• Over her last five outings, she is averaging 19.6 points and 11.0 rebounds per outing, exceeding the points total for this matchup only once during that stretch.

Prediction: Napheesa Collier OVER 21.5 points