DALLAS WINGS AT NEW YORK LIBERTY EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — August 22, 2024

DALLAS WINGS AT NEW YORK LIBERTY EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — August 22, 2024 — Greetings, basketball fans. Welcome back to our WNBA coverage here at Godzilla Wins. The lone game on tonight’s schedule features the Dallas Wings (6-21 SU, 8-19 ATS) visiting the New York Liberty (24-5 SU, 15-14 ATS).

Here is a look at which squad has the edge going into this matchup and why.

Tipoff

When: Thursday, August 22, 2024 @ 7:00 PM ET

Where: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY

TV: WWOR, BSSW, Amazon Prime Video, and Liberty Live

Dallas Wings at New York Liberty Odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings

Dallas Wings at New York Liberty – In-Season Stats & Betting Trends

The Liberty are on a mission after coming up in last year’s WNBA Finals. They started the 2024 campaign with 17 wins in their first 21 outings. As impressive as that start was, New York has reeled off seven straight victories. This includes a 94-74 win over the Dallas Wings on Tuesday night. Reigning MVP Breanna Stewart paced the team’s offense with 26 points, 12 rebounds, and three assists. Jonquel Jones also complied a double-double, finishing with 23 points and 12 boards. She shot 8-of-14 overall and 2-of-7 from beyond the arc.

On the other side of the spectrum, the Wings have had a miserable season thus far. Following a 4-13 start, Dallas has mustered only two wins across its last eight contests. In the 20-point loss to New York two days ago, Satou Sabally led a trio of starters who scored in double figures. Her final stat line included 24 points, five rebounds, four assists, and four steals. She shot 8-of-14 from the field and an efficient 5-for-8 from three-point range.

Arike Ogunbowale added 17 points, six rebounds and five assists. Natasha Howard chipped in with 13 points and nine rebounds but was just 6-of-18 from the floor. Despite trailing by double-digits after the first quarter and facing a nine-point deficit going into the fourth quarter, the Wings trimmed the deficit to just four points. However, order was restored, as New York answered with 14-0 en route to its league-leading 24th win of the season.

Can the Wings pull off a huge upset, or will the Liberty roll to their eighth consecutive victory?

Now that we have set the stage for this matchup, let’s examine the betting trends for both teams.

The Spread

As was the case when these teams clashed two days ago, the Liberty are a 13-point favorite heading into this matchup (per OddShark.com). Here is a look at how both teams have fared against the spread this season.

• The Liberty have covered the spread in each of their last five outings.
• New York is a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last six contests following an ATS victory.
• In their last seven home games against  Dallas, the Liberty are 5-2 against the spread.
• Meanwhile, the Wings have failed to cover the spread nine times in their last 10 outings.
• Dallas is 3-14 ATS in its last 17 games following an ATS loss.
• In their last 11 road games,  the Wings are just 1-10 against the spread.

Prediction: New York Liberty (-13)

Over/Under

The projected over/under total for this matchup opened at 173.5 points (per OddsShark.com). Here is why going with the “over” is the smart choice.

• The total has gone OVER five times in the Liberty’s last six matchups against Dallas.
• In New York’s last five outings against Western Conference teams, the OVER total cashed in four times.
• The total has gone OVER 34 times in the last 51 games the Wings have played on one day of rest (34-16-1).
• The OVER total holds a 5-2 record in Dallas’s last seven road contests.

Prediction: OVER 173.5 points

Player Prop Bet

On the heels of her 26-point, 12-rebound effort against Dallas on Tuesday night, Stewart is the key player to watch for the home team. She currently has -110 odds of scoring more than 23.5 points and -120 odds of finishing with less than 23.5 points (via Bet365).

Here is a look at how her numbers stack up against the projected points total for this matchup.

• During the season, Stewart is averaging 19.8 points per game.
• In the previous matchup against the Wings, Stewart scored 26 points on 7-of-22 shooting from the field and connected on three of her seven attempts from downtown.
• Stewart has played against Western Conference teams 11 times this season, averaging 20.8 points per outing.
• In 13 home games, the Liberty forward averages 19.2 points per game.
• Over her last five outings, Stewart has averaged 21.1 points, 8.7 rebounds, and 3.9 assists per contest, exceeding the points total for this matchup twice during that stretch.

Prediction: Breanna Stewart UNDER 23.5 points