Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream Expert Expert Pick And Predictions – June 2, 2024

CONNECTICUT SUN VS. ATLANTA DREAM EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — JUNE 2, 2024 — Greetings, basketball fans. Welcome back to our WNBA playoff coverage here at Godzilla Wins. One of the games on tap from tonight’s slate features the Connecticut Sun (7-0 SU, 2-5 ATS) taking on the Atlanta Dream (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS).

Here is a look at which squad has the edge going into this matchup and why.

Tipoff

When: Sunday, June 2, 2024 @ 3:00 PM ET

Where: Gateway Center Arena, College Park, GA

TV: NBCS-BOS and Peachtree TV

Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream Expert Odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings

Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream Expert – In-Season Stats & Betting Trends

Will The Sun Be A Nightmarish Matchup For The Dream?

The Sun were eliminated by the New York Liberty in the semifinal round of last year’s playoffs. However, they have begun the season with victories in each of their first seven games, and they are the only undefeated team in the association.

In their recent 74-72 win against the Dallas Wings, Brionna Jones led the team with a season-high 22 points to go along with four rebounds. She connected on 10 of her 14 attempts from the field. Alyssa Thomas’s impressive stat line included 15 points, 14 assists, nine rebounds, and two steals.

DeWanna Bronner – who is the team’s leading scorer and who recently reached the 7,000-point mark in her career earlier in the week – contributed 12 points and four rebounds.

Can The Dream Cool Off The Sun?

On the other side of this matchup, after splitting their first four games, the Dream have posted victories in their last two outings. This includes a 73-67 win over the Washington Mystics on Wednesday and a 78-74 victory over the defending champions, the Las Vegas Aces, on Friday night.

In that contest, Allisha Gray paced the team’s offense with a team-high 24 points and four rebounds. She knocked down six of her seven attempts from beyond the arc.

Rhyne Howard added 16 points, two rebounds, and two assists. Atlanta shot just 36.1 percent overall, but it converted eight of its 16 attempts from 3-point range.

While the Dream had their shooting struggles, they did hold the Aces to 36.2 percent shooting from the floor and 28.6 percent from distance. The Sun leads the WNBA in scoring defense, giving up just 73.6 points per contest, while Atlanta is fifth at 80 points allowed per game.

Additionally, the Dream are holding opponents to a league-low 40.7 percent shooting overall, and they are ranked fourth in opponent 3-point shooting at 30.6 percent, while the Sun are a league-best 29.4 percent. In other words, points will NOT be easy to come by when these teams square off on Sunday night.

Now that we have set the stage for this showdown, let’s examine the betting trends for both sides.

The Spread

The Connecticut Sun have been perfect through their first seven games, so it’s no surprise they are a 3.5-point favorite (per BleacherNation.com). Here is a look at how both ball clubs have fared against the spread this season.

• The Sun are 1-5 ATS in their last five outings.
• Connecticut has covered the spread seven times in its last eight matchups against Atlanta.
• In their last five road games against the Dream, the Sun are a perfect 5-0 against the spread.
• The Dream are 3-6 ATS in their last nine games.
• Atlanta is 1-7 ATS in its last eight contests against Connecticut.
• The Sun have covered the spread four times in the previous five head-to-head matchups between these two teams.

Prediction: Connecticut Sun (-3.5)

Over/Under

The projected over/under for this matchup is 159.5 points (via Lineups.com). Here are a few trends that suggest why going with the “over” is the smart choice.

• The total has gone OVER seven times in the Sun’s last 10 outings.
• In Connecticut’s last five road contests, the OVER total is 4-1.
• Atlanta and Connecticut have exceeded the over/under total for this matchup four times in their previous five head-to-head encounters.

Prediction: OVER 159.5 points

Player Prop Bet

Although she had a somewhat pedestrian outing in the team’s recent win over the Wings, DeWanna Bronner is the key player to watch in this matchup. She currently has +100 odds of scoring more than 19.5 points and -130 odds of finishing with less than 19.5 points.

Here is a look at how her numbers stack up against the projected points total for this matchup.

• Bronner is averaging 19.1 points per contest through the first seven games of the season.
• In a pair of road games this season, the two-time WNBA champion is averaging 20.5 points per contest.
• Over her last five outings, she is averaging 18.4 points per outing, exceeding the points total for this matchup twice during that stretch.

Prediction: DeWanna Bronner OVER 19.5 points