Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Expert Expert Pick And Predictions – June 1, 2024

CHICAGO SKY VS. INDIANA  FEVER EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS—June 1, 2024—Greetings, basketball fans. Welcome to our WNBA coverage here at Godzilla Wins. The lone game on tap from today’s slate features the Chicago Sky (3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS) taking on the Indiana Fever (1-8  SU, 4-5 ATS).

Here is a look at which squad has the edge going into this matchup and why.

Tipoff

When: Saturday, June 1, 2024 @ 12:00 PM ET

Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

TV: ESPN

Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Expert Odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings

Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Expert– In-Season Stats & Betting Trends

Can The Sky Post Their Second Straight Win?

After posting wins in two of their first three contests, the Sky dropped back-to-back games against the Connecticut Sun (86-82) and the Seattle Storm (77-68). Fortunately, this group was able to get back on track with an 83-73 victory over the Los Angeles Sparks on Thursday night.

Marina Mabrey scored a team-high 20 points, along with seven rebounds and seven assists. She also knocked down six of her 11 attempts from beyond the arc.

Elizabeth Williams finished with 17 points and 11 boards (including four on the offensive glass). In addition to having four steals, she also shot an efficient 6-for-9 from the field. Dana Evans chipped in with 15 points, five steals, and four assists.

Chicago — who is ranked fourth in scoring defense and sixth in defensive rating — held Los Angeles to just 40 percent shooting from the field and 19 percent from distance. If they can duplicate this effort at that end of the floor, they should emerge victorious against a Fever team that is struggling this season.

Can The Fever Snap Their Losing Skid?

On the other side of this matchup, we have an Indiana squad that is having a difficult time finding its footing, and that is putting it nicely. They started the season with losses in each of their first five games before getting into the win column with a 78-73 win over the Los Angeles Sparks on May 24.

Since that win, though, the Fever have dropped each of their last three games, marking the second time this season they have dropped three consecutive games. In the team’s recent 103-88 loss against the Seattle Storm, Nalyssa Smith paced the team’s offense with 23 points, 10 boards, and two blocked shots. Caitlin Clark added 20 points and nine assists but shot just 6-for-17 from the field and committed seven turnovers.

The defining stretch of this contest occurred in the third quarter when Seattle outscored Indiana 34-18.

“The third quarter was when we lost the game,” Clark said after the game. “I just thought our defensive rotations were bad. It’s not really about our offense. It was our defense. You’re not going to win a basketball game, giving up 103.”

During the game-changing third quarter, Seattle kicked off the frame with a 12-2 run and made 12 of its 17 shots. The Fever are ranked last in both scoring defense and defensive efficiency, which could potentially lead to the team’s sixth double-digit loss on the season.

Now that we have set the stage for this showdown, let’s examine the betting trends for both sides.

The Spread

Following their recent 83-73 win against the Los Angeles Sparks, the Sky are a 3.5-point favorite in this matchup (via BleacherNation.com).

• The Sky have covered the spread four times in their last five outings.
• Chicago is 6-3 ATS in its last nine road contests.
• In their last 10 road matchups against Indiana, the Sky are 7-2-1 against the spread.
• The Fever are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.
• Indiana is 1-2-2 ATS  in its last five matchups against Chicago.
• In their last 12 home games vs. the Sky, the Fever are 2-8-2 against the spread.

Prediction: Chicago Sky (-3.5)

Over/Under

The projected over/under for this matchup is 164.5 points (via Lineups.com). Here are a few trends that suggest why going with the “over” is the smart choice.

• The total has gone OVER in each of the Sky’s last five matchups against Indiana.
• The OVER total is 5-0 in Chicago’s last five road contests against the Fever.
• The total has gone OVER six times in the Fever’s last seven outings.
• In Indiana’s last seven home games, the OVER total has prevailed five times.
• Chicago and Indiana have surpassed the over/under total for this matchup in each of their previous five head-to-head matchups.

Prediction: OVER 164.5 points

Player Prop Bet

Indiana Fever forward Aliyah Boston is the key player to watch in this matchup. She currently has -125 odds of scoring more than 12.5 points and -105 odds of scoring less than 12.5 points.

Here is a look at how her numbers stack up against the projected points total for this matchup.

• Boston is averaging 11.0 points per contest through the first nine games of the season.
• In four home games, the reigning Rookie of the Year has averaged 12.5 PPG in those outings.
• Boston has averaged 12.2 points and 6.6 rebounds per contest in her last five games, exceeding the points total for this matchup twice during that stretch.

Prediction: Aliyah Boston OVER 12.5 points