CHICAGO BEARS VS. MINNESOTA VIKINGS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — November 24, 2024

CHICAGO BEARS VS. MINNESOTA VIKINGS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — November 24, 2024 — Greetings, football fans. Welcome back to our NFL coverage here at Godzilla Wins. One of the many games on Sunday’s slate features the Chicago Bears (4-6 SU, 5-4-1 ATS) hosting the Minnesota Vikings (8-2 SU, 7-3 ATS).

Here is a look at which squad has the edge going into this matchup and why.

Kickoff

When: Sunday, November 24, 2024 @ 1:00 PM ET

Where: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL

TV: FOX

Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings Odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings

Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings — In-Season Stats & Betting Trends

The Chicago Bears have dropped four straight games following a 4-2 start, which seems like a lifetime ago. The latest loss was a 20-19 setback at the hands of the Green Bay Packers. Fast-forward to the final frame. Green Bay had taken a 20-19 lead, but Chicago was gifted an opportunity to come away with the “W”.

Despite back-to-back sacks on the first two plays of the game’s final drive, rookie quarterback Caleb Williams made several plays to help get Chicago within field goal range. Unfortunately, a victory was not in the cards for the home team, as the field goal attempt by Cairo Santos was blocked, enabling the Packers to escape with a one-point victory. Not only that, but it was also their 11^th consecutive win in what has been a one-sided rivalry over the past several seasons.

Meanwhile, the Vikings enter this matchup riding the wave of a three-game winning streak, including a 23-13 victory over the Tennessee Titans in Week 11. After trailing 3-0 in the first quarter, Minnesota scored 16 unanswered points to take a 16-3 advantage into the break. They never trailed again.

Sam Darnold, who had thrown five picks in his last two starts, completed 20 of 32 passes for 246 yards and two touchdowns. He also added a rushing touchdown as well.

“How he played in those moments was a huge indicator of a guy that had put the work in and was confident and just going out there and do his job, Vikings coach Kevin O’Connell said after the game. And then he also overcame some things around him to make some plays, which was critical for us.”

In addition to posting their third straight victory, the Vikings improved to a perfect 5-0 against AFC opponents this season. Will Minnesota continue to roll, or will Chicago finally find a way to get a much-needed victory?

Now that we have set the stage for this NFC North showdown, let’s examine the betting trends for both teams.

Hey, make sure you check out our picks on the GW Daily Picks page.

Bears vs. Vikings Spread Analysis

Following their latest defeat, the Bears enter this matchup as a 3.5-point underdog (via OddsShark.com). Let’s see how both teams have fared against the spread.

• The Bears are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games.
• Chicago is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 matchups against NFC opponents.
• Conversely, the Bears are just 2-4 ATS in their last six contests against Minnesota.
• The Vikings are 7-3 ATS in their previous 10 outings.
• Minnesota has covered the spread six times in its last nine games against Chicago.
• Oddly enough, the Vikings are 7-13-1 in their last 21 outings at Soldier Field.

Prediction: Minnesota Vikings (-3.5)

Bears vs. Vikings Over/Under Prediction

The projected scoring total for this matchup opened at 44.5 points, but the line has dipped to 39.5 points (via OddsShark.com). Here are a few trends that suggest why you should go with the “under”.

• The total has gone UNDER four times in the Bears’ last five games.
• The UNDER total boasts a 6-1 record in Chicago’s last seven November outings.
• The total has gone UNDER seven times in the Vikings’ previous 10 outings.
• In Minnesota’s last five road matchups against Chicago, the UNDER total has prevailed each time.
• The UNDER total is 17-8 in the previous 25 meetings between these franchises.

Prediction: UNDER 39.5 points

Bears vs. Vikings Player Prop Bet

On the heels of a respectable performance (23 of 31 for 231 yards), Caleb Williams is this week’s key player to watch for the home team. He currently has -115 odds of finishing with more than 206.5 passing yards and -115 odds of finishing with less than 206.5 yards (via DraftKings). Here’s how his numbers measure up to the projected yards total.

• During the season, Williams has averaged 201.3 yards per outing.
• Williams has faced NFC teams five times this season. In those contests, he is averaging 208 yards per outing.
• Chicago has played six of their 10 games at home this season. In those contests, Williams averages 188.5 yards per outing.
• Over his last four starts, Williams has averaged 189.3 yards per contest, exceeding the yards total for this matchup just once during that stretch.

Prediction: Caleb Williams UNDER 206.5 passing yards