CHICAGO BEARS AT ARIZONA CARDINALS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — November 3, 2024
CHICAGO BEARS AT ARIZONA CARDINALS EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTIONS — November 3, 2024 — Greetings, football fans. Welcome back to our NFL coverage here at Godzilla Wins. One of the games on Sunday’s slate features the Chicago Bears (4-3 SU, 4-2-1 ATS) visiting the Arizona Cardinals (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS).
Here is a look at which squad has the edge going into this matchup and why.
Kickoff
When: Sunday, November 3, 2024 @ 4:05 PM ET
Where: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
TV: CBS
Chicago Bears at Arizona Cardinals Odds
Matchup |
Open |
Spread |
Total |
Moneyline |
Chicago Bears(4-3 SU, 4-2-1 ATS) |
-1 |
+1.5 |
O44.5 |
+105 |
Arizona Cardinals(4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS) |
U47.5 |
-1.5 |
U44.5 |
-125 |
Odds courtesy of DraftKings
Chicago Bears at Arizona Cardinals — In-Season Stats & Betting Trends
The Cardinals dropped four of their first six games, but they have posted back-to-back wins against the Los Angeles Chargers (17-15) and the Miami Dolphins (28-27). Arizona trailed by two scores in the fourth quarter of their Week 8 matchup against Miami. However, Kyler Murray guided the team to a pair of scoring drives. The second one took up the final 5:01 and ended with a Chad Ryland field goal as time expired, enabling the Cardinals to win consecutive contests for the first time since October 2021.
Meanwhile, the Bears saw their three-game winning streak snapped courtesy of an 18-15 setback against the Washington Commanders. Chicago’s offense had difficulty moving the football for most of the game, and that’s being generous. But despite trailing 12-0, the Bears scored 15 unanswered points and held a 15-12 lead with 25 seconds left in regulation.
Unfortunately, that was enough time for Washington to do what was seemingly unthinkable. Jayden Daniels scrambled for nearly 13 seconds on the game’s final play and heaved the ball from the Commanders’ 35-yard line. The pass was tipped near the goal line but fell right into the arms of Noah Brown, sending the home team and its fans into a frenzy.
To be in position to win despite playing poorly for most of the afternoon and then losing the game in that fashion must have been unsettling, to say the least. Can the Cardinals push their win streak to three games, or will the Bears get back into the win column following a disappointing loss?
Now that we have set the stage for this NFC showdown, let’s examine the betting trends for both teams.
Hey, make sure you check out our picks on the GW Daily Picks page.
The Spread
Following a three-point loss against one of the best teams in the conference, Chicago enters this contest as a slight one-point favorite (via OddsShark.com). Let’s see how both teams have fared against the spread.
- The Cardinals are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
- Arizona has not covered the spread in its previous five matchups against NFC opponents.
- The Cardinals are 6-3 against the spread in their last nine Sunday games.
- The Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last seven matchups against Arizona.
- Chicago has covered the spread seven times in its previous nine contests against NFC opponents.
- In their last five road outings, the Bears are 0-4-1 against the spread.
Prediction: Chicago Bears (-1)
Over/Under
The projected scoring total for this matchup is 44.5 points (via OddsShark.com). Here are a few trends that support why taking the “over” is the intelligent choice.
- The total has gone OVER 13 times in the Cardinals’ last 19 November games.
- The OVER total has a 4-1 record in Arizona’s previous five Week 9 outings.
- The total has gone OVER six times in the Bears’ last seven matchups against NFC West opponents.
- The OVER total is 6-1 in the previous seven meetings between these franchises.
Prediction: OVER 44.5 points
Player Prop Bet
The key player to watch for the home team is Kyler Murray. He currently has -115 odds of throwing for more than 215.5 yards and -115 odds of finishing with less than 215.5 yards (via DraftKings). Here’s a look at how his numbers stack up against the projected yards total.
- During the season, Murray is averaging 204.8 yards per game.
- In two career matchups against Chicago, he has averaged 176.5 yards per outing with a passer rating of 110.0.
- The Cardinals have played four home games this season. In those contests, Murray averages 190 yards per outing.
- Across his last three outings, Murray has averaged 222 yards per game, exceeding the yards total for this projected matchup only once during that stretch.
Prediction: Kyler Murray UNDER 215.5 passing yards
James Tillman’s Bears at Cardinals Picks |
Spread: Bears (-1)Over/Under: OVER 44.5 pointsPlayer Prop Bet: Kyler Murray UNDER 215.5 passing yards |